Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds VS Los Angeles Dodgers 2025-10-01
Prediction: The Reds’ Cinderella Story Ends in a Yamamoto Yawn-Fest
The Cincinnati Reds, fresh off their "we’ve-never-won-a-postseason-series" vibes, will take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series. Spoiler alert: This won’t be a fairytale finish. Yoshinobu Yamamoto, the Dodgers’ 22-year-old pitching prodigy, is set to dominate like he’s playing a video game on “Easy Mode.” With a 2.49 ERA and 201 strikeouts in 173.2 innings this season, Yamamoto isn’t just a pitcher—he’s a mathematical certainty. The Reds? They strike out 8.75 times per game on the road. Math checks out.
Key Stats & Odds:
- Moneyline: Dodgers -136 (implied win probability: 58.3%) vs. Reds +320 (28.6%).
- Spread: Dodgers -1.5 (-110) / Reds +1.5 (-110).
- Total: Over 7.5 runs (-110) / Under 7.5 runs (-110).
Why the Reds Will Lose (Scientifically):
1. Yamamoto’s K-ing Everything: The Dodgers’ ace is -145 to strike out 6.5+ batters. The Reds’ lineup? They’ll need a miracle to avoid becoming his personal strikeout lab rats.
2. Littell’s Luck Runs Out: Reds starter Zack Littell (-125 to give up 2.5+ runs) has a 3.00 ERA in his last two starts, but facing the Dodgers’ offense? That’s like bringing a spoon to a sword fight.
3. Road Struggles: Cincinnati’s 8.75 strikeouts per game on the road? Yamamoto’s 10.4 K/9? This is a math problem with one solution: Yamamoto wins, Reds cry.
Prop Bets to Mock:
- Yamamoto Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-145): He’s got 10 Ks in three of his last five starts. Take the over.
- Littell Under 3.5 Hits Allowed (-155): The Reds’ pitcher is -155 to allow fewer than 3.5 hits. If he survives the first inning, it’ll be a miracle.
Final Score Prediction:
Dodgers 5, Reds 1. Because even if the Reds score, it’ll be a mercy rule.
Verdict: Bet the Dodgers -1.5 (-110) and laugh all the way to the bank. The Reds’ Cinderella story ends here—unless they invent a time machine to fix their draft picks.
Created: Oct. 1, 2025, 10:14 p.m. GMT