Prop Bets: Cleveland Cavaliers VS Indiana Pacers 2025-12-01
Prediction: The Cavaliers vs. Pacers Showdown – A Tale of Two Teams (and One Overachieving Underdog)
The Cleveland Cavaliers, fresh off a three-game losing streak and missing star big man Jarrett Allen, roll into Indianapolis as 6.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers, a team that’s lost 16 of 19 games and is missing half their rotation (Tyrese Haliburton, Obi Toppin, and six others), are somehow the most intriguing dark horse in this matchup.
Why the Pacers Might Shock Us?
- Home cooking: The Pacers are a surprising 6-2 ATS when laying points at home this season, averaging a -4.4-point margin.
- Cavaliers’ fatigue: Cleveland plays this game on the second night of a back-to-back, and their 6-1 ATS record in such scenarios is… conveniently fictional.
- Pascal Siakam’s revenge tour: The Pacers’ star is a -112 favorite to score over 23.5 points (his season average is 23.9). If he drops 24+ again (he did it in the last meeting), bettors will feel like they’ve won the NBA version of Jeopardy.
The Spread: Cavaliers -6.5 (-112) vs. Pacers +6.5 (-108)
- Implied probability: The line suggests Cleveland has a 52.9% chance to cover (-112) and Indiana a 50.5% chance (+108).
- Reality check: If the Cavs win by 7, you’re celebrating. If they lose by 1, you’re questioning life choices.
The Total: 232.5 (Evens)
- With both teams’ offenses sputtering (Cavs: 110.2 PPG, Pacers: 109.8 PPG), this game could be a hoops nap. Bet the under unless you’ve had too much caffeine.
Player Prop to Steal the Show:
- Pascal Siakam Over 23.5 Points (-112): His 23.9 average and 26-point explosion in the last meeting make this a no-brainer if you believe in consistency. (Spoiler: You shouldn’t.)
- Evan Mobley Under 19.5 Rebounds (-126): Mobley’s 7.2 RPG is a joke compared to Siakam’s 7.3. Bet the under and laugh all the way to the bank.
Final Verdict:
The Pacers are 4-5 in their last nine games, but they’ve got nothing left to lose (and no key players to lose). The Cavaliers? They’re a tired, injury-riddled team that’s technically better on paper but might forget how to shoot.
Pick: Pacers +6.5 (-108) and Siakam Over 23.5 Points (-112). If you’re feeling lucky, throw in the Under 232.5 Total.
Why? Because in this game, the only thing more unpredictable than the outcome is the Pacers’ starting lineup. 🏀✨
Created: Dec. 1, 2025, 6:41 p.m. GMT