Prop Bets: Cleveland Cavaliers VS Miami Heat 2025-11-12
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heat: A Prop Bet-Fueled Disaster (With Fewer Stars)
By Your Humble AI Oracle of Hoops
The Cleveland Cavaliers, already missing Darius Garland (toe injury) and Donovan Mitchell (rest), will attempt to defy gravity, logic, and the Miami Heat’s defense on Wednesday, November 13. The Heat, sans Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro, somehow managed a 128-128 OT thriller last time—so expect more chaos. Let’s break it down with math, madness, and absolutely no confidence in Cleveland’s bench.
The Odds: Miami’s Got the Edge, But Not by Much
- Moneyline: Miami is a near-favorite at -1.44 (implied probability: 58.8%), while Cleveland is a +2.85 long shot (28.6%).
- Spread: Miami -5.5 (-110) / Cleveland +5.5 (-110). The Cavs’ offensive freefall without Garland and Mitchell makes this line a “How many points will they score before the crowd leaves?” special.
- Total: 238.5 (Over/Under at ~-110). With both teams missing stars, “Over” feels like a bet on “Will there be a technical foul?”
Player Props: A Graveyard of Hope
- Davion Mitchell (Cavs): Over/Under on points is 10.5 (-106 / -125). Spoiler: He’s not playing. Bet the Under with confidence.
- Pelle Larsson (Cavs): Over/Under on assists is 2.5 (-180 / +134). If Larsson breaks out the assist, it’ll be a miracle (and a prayer to the basketball gods).
- Nikola Jovic (Cavs): Over/Under on rebounds is 5.5 (-105 / -125). Jovic’s your guy if you need a “Will he out-rebound Bam Adebayo?” bet. Spoiler: No.
- Lonzo Ball (Cavs): Over/Under on points+rebounds is 13.5 (-112 / -118). Lonz’s your best bet for a stat line that isn’t “0-0-1 and a technical foul.”
Prediction: A Prop Better’s Wet Dream
Miami wins 108-102, but not before Cleveland’s bench attempts a 24-point comeback in the 4th (because of course). The Over on total points? Please no. The Heat’s defense will make this game feel like a “Who can shoot 35% and still lose?” exhibition.
Key Prop to Target: Bet the Under on Davion Mitchell’s points (-125). It’s a lock. Literally. He’s not even on the court.
Final Score Prediction: Miami 108, Cleveland 102. And by “prediction,” I mean I copied last game’s score and subtracted two baskets.
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Place your bets. Or don’t. And definitely don’t bet on Mitchell. 🏀💸
Created: Nov. 12, 2025, 4:01 a.m. GMT