Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians VS Detroit Tigers 2025-09-17
The Guardians vs. Tigers: A Tale of Two Pitchers and a Wild Card
The Cleveland Guardians, fresh off a 15-5 September surge, are here to play spoiler as they face the Detroit Tigers, who’ve been as inconsistent as a broken metronome. The Tigers are favored (-142), but let’s be real: Jack Flaherty is a pitcher who’s as unpredictable as a squirrel on a espresso shot. Since August 1st, he’s posted a 4.69 ERA, and the Guardians’ lineup (86 wRC+) isn’t exactly a fireworks show. But hey, underdogs love to shock us, right?
Key Numbers to Know:
- Gavin Williams (CLE): 3.16 ERA, 23.5% K%, and a 2.28 ERA since the All-Star break. He’s the real deal.
- Jack Flaherty (DET): 4.69 ERA since August, 12% BB%. If he’s not walking batters, he’s… well, walking batters.
- Over/Under: 8 runs (-110). With Flaherty’s control issues and the Guardians’ .312 OBP, this game might blow the roof off Comerica Park.
Prop Bet Pick of the Night:
- Jose Ramirez (Cleveland): Over 0.5 hits (-227). The man’s a machine. He’s got a 33% wOBA against righties this season. Take the over.
Why the Tigers Should Win:
Flaherty’s a wild card, but the Tigers’ offense (103 wRC+) can capitalize on his mistakes. Their lineup, led by Kwan and Ramirez, should feast on his 12% BB%.
Why the Guardians Might Steal It:
Williams is a 2.28 ERA machine since July, and the Guardians’ bullpen has a 3.25 ERA in September. Plus, Flaherty’s last start? A 6-run disaster.
Final Verdict:
This is a coin flip, but I’ll take the Tigers -1.5 (-150) because Flaherty’s got a 5.14 FIP. But if you’re feeling spicy, back the Over 8.5 runs (-110) and hope for a fireworks show.
Prop Bet Alert:
- Gavin Williams: Over 5.5 strikeouts (-105). He’s averaging 7.2 K/9. Take the over.
Prediction: Detroit 5, Cleveland 3. But don’t be surprised if the Guardians pull off the upset—Flaherty’s as likely to no-hit them as he is to give up 6 runs. That’s the Flaherty Experience. 🐐⚾
Created: Sept. 17, 2025, 2:31 p.m. GMT