Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians VS Kansas City Royals 2025-07-25

Guardians vs. Royals: A Tale of Two Teams and a Spreadsheet
The Cleveland Guardians (+162) are the underdogs in this July 26 clash against the Kansas City Royals (-112), but let’s be real: the Guardians have been the most improved team since the All-Star break (5-2 in their last 7 games). The Royals, meanwhile, are the MLB’s version of a tax audit—low-scoring, low-energy, and here to make you feel old. Kansas City averages just 3.5 runs per game, which is about as exciting as a spreadsheet. Cleveland, meanwhile, has the 26th-ranked offense but somehow managed to beat the Orioles three out of four times. Go figure.

Key Stats to Know
- Starting Pitchers: Gavin Williams (Cle) vs. Michael Wacha (KC). Williams has a 4.20 ERA on the season, while Wacha’s 4.52 ERA suggests he’s the human equivalent of a “meh” face.
- Moneyline Implied Probabilities: Royals at 52.8% to win, Guardians at 38.5%. The line is basically saying, “We’re not sure who’s gonna win, but we’re charging you anyway.”
- Over/Under: 8.5 total runs. With KC’s anemic offense and Cleveland’s “meh” pitching, this feels like a 2025 version of a 1985 game.

Prop Bets to Watch
1. Steven Kwan (Cle) Over 2.5 Hits (-140): Kwan’s been a hit machine this season (162/435 BA). Taking the over here is like betting on a duck to find water.
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) Over 1.5 RBIs (+125): Witt’s got the power, but KC’s lineup? Not so much. This prop is a Hail Mary in a rainstorm.
3. Jose Ramirez (Cle) Over 1.5 Total Bases (-130): If Ramirez doesn’t hit a triple (he’s 0-for on the season), this might be the safest bet of the night.

Why the Guardians Might Win:
They’ve got the easiest schedule the rest of the way. If they can score 3 runs, they’ll probably win. It’s math!

Why the Royals Might Win:
Because sometimes, even spreadsheets dream.

Final Verdict:
Take the Guardians (+162) and Steven Kwan Over 2.5 hits. If you want to live on the edge, dabble in Witt Jr. Over 1.5 steals (+850)—it’s the only prop where “fun” and “possible” coexist.

Prediction: Final score: Kansas City 2, Cleveland 1. The game will last 3 hours and 58 minutes. You’ll check your phone 12 times. You’ll regret nothing.

Created: July 25, 2025, 5:08 p.m. GMT