Prop Bets: Colorado Rockies VS Cincinnati Reds 2025-07-12
Reds vs. Rockies: A Tale of Two Batting Lines (and Why the Rockies Should Bring a Snack)
The Cincinnati Reds (-235) are favored to stomp the Colorado Rockies (+194) like a particularly aggressive groundskeeper stomping weeds. Let’s break it down with the precision of a spreadsheet and the humor of a beer-soaked bar bet.
Why the Reds Are Here for Dinner
- Offense: The Reds are 9th in runs scored and 15th in home runs. They’re the culinary equivalent of a five-star restaurant—consistent, reliable, and not that guy.
- Pitching: Brady Singer starts, facing a Rockies lineup that ranks 27th in runs and 24th in HRs. Singer’s got a better chance of getting a strikeout than the Rockies have of winning this game.
- Moneyline Implied Probability: Reds at -235 = 70.2% chance to win. Rockies at +194 = 34%. Math says the Rockies are bringing a snack to a feast.
Why the Rockies Are Here for the Snacks
- Their 5.66 ERA is the MLB’s worst, and their 1.575 WHIP makes them look like a leaky faucet.
- Key prop to note: Ryan McMahon’s over/under on doubles is 0.5, priced at +425. Given his .185 AVG, this is about as likely as a snowstorm in July.
Player Props to Bet Your Grandma’s Wig On
- Elly De La Cruz (-230) to hit over 0.5 doubles: The Reds’ star is so hot right now, his doubles are on fire. Take the over.
- Mickey Moniak (+750) to hit the first HR: The Rockies’ “power” is a flickering candle. Moniak’s odds are about as realistic as a Rockies win.
- Brady Singer’s earned runs (under 2.5 at -120): With the Reds’ pen, this is a safer bet than a Rockies closer.
The Verdict
The Reds will likely win 7-2, with Singer scattering 5 hits and De La Cruz doubling up on the Rockies’ broken spirits. The Rockies’ best play? Betting on the over for Michael Toglia’s walks (+190). Why? Because something has to happen.
Final Pick: Reds -1.5 (-120) and Over 10.5 runs (-115). Because math, and also because the Rockies’ offense is a slow snail on a treadmill.
Disclaimer: This prediction is 70% math, 30% sarcasm. Bet responsibly, or don’t—your grandma’s wig is probably already gone. 🎩⚾
Created: July 12, 2025, 5:05 a.m. GMT