Prop Bets: Connecticut Sun VS New York Liberty 2025-08-25
WNBA Showdown: New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun – A Tale of Two Teams (and a Lot of Injuries)
The Setup:
The New York Liberty (-12, -806 ML) are favored by a country mile over the Connecticut Sun (+12, +548 ML) in this 2025 thriller. The total is set at 164.5 points, which feels about right—given the Liberty’s 81.6 PPG defense and the Sun’s 75.7 PPG offense, this game might be more “math class” than “March Madness.”
Why the Liberty Are Favored (Even With a Broken Roster):
- Injury Montage Alert: The Liberty’s injury report reads like a grocery list: Sabrina Ionescu (foot), Breanna Stewart (knee), Natasha Cloud (nose), and Isabelle Harrison (concussion). Only Marine Johannes has avoided the infirmary all season. Yet, somehow, they’re still 22-15. How? Magic. Or maybe Tina Charles’ 16.3 PPG and Jonquel Jones’ 8.6 REB?
- Rebounding Advantage: New York’s 33.8 REB/G vs. Connecticut’s 31.4? That’s a difference of two and a half extra possessions. In basketball terms, that’s enough to score a layup… or a tweet.
- Points Differential: The Liberty outscore opponents by 4.1 PPG, while the Sun lose by 9.6 PPG. This isn’t a game—it’s a mercy rule.
The Sun’s (Slim) Hope:
Connecticut’s 9-27 record isn’t pretty, but they’ll try to exploit New York’s injuries. Can Bria Hartley (1.5 3-pt/G) and Marina Mabrey (4.0 AST/G) spark a rally? Unlikely. The Sun’s offense ranks 13th (75.7 PPG), and their only path to victory involves the Liberty scoring fewer than 50 points… or time travel.
Player Props to Bet on a Rainy Night:
- Sabrina Ionescu Over 19.5 Points (-110): She’s averaging 19.0 PPG, but with a foot injury? Let’s call it “over 19.5 points or a free trip to the training room.”
- Tina Charles Over 6.5 Rebounds (+100): She’ll hit 8.6 REB/G… unless her back gives out. Again.
- Connecticut Sun Under 72.5 Points (-110): Because nothing says “competitive game” like a team scoring fewer points than a high school JV squad.
Final Verdict:
The Liberty are so favored, they’re giving out free popcorn and a standing ovation just for showing up. The Sun? They’ll need to summon every ounce of their 13th-ranked offense (75.7 PPG) to avoid being the first team to lose by 14 points while not even trying.
Prediction:
New York Liberty 78, Connecticut Sun 62. The total goes UNDER 164.5 because, let’s face it, the Liberty’s defense is the only thing keeping their offense from being average.
And if the Sun pull off the miracle?
*Congrats, you’ve just witnessed the WNBA’s version of the Harlem Globetrotters’ “clown college” act. 🏀✨
Created: Aug. 25, 2025, 6:12 a.m. GMT