Prop Bets: Dallas Mavericks VS Minnesota Timberwolves 2025-11-17
Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: A Tale of Two Teams (and One Very Tired Calf)
The Dallas Mavericks, fresh off a 138-133 overtime win against the Blazers, are limping into Minneapolis with Anthony Davis sidelined (calf injury) and Kyrie Irving still out (ACL). They’ll face the 7-5 Timberwolves, who’ve won 5 of their last 7 at home and boast the NBA’s best defense. The Mavericks rank 27th in scoring (107.2 PPG) and 24th in assists—so let’s just call this game “The Great Underachievers Showdown.”
The Spread: Dallas is a 13.5-point underdog (-14.5 at some books), which feels about right. The UNDER on the total (231.5-232.5) is favored, thanks to Dallas’ 2-0 record in back-to-back games and Minnesota’s league-best defense. The Mavericks’ 29th-ranked offense vs. the Timberwolves’ 11th-ranked defense? Yawn.
Key Prop Bets to Mock:
1. Donte DiVincenzo Over 3.5 Three-Pointers (-134 to -140): D-Vinci is shooting 26.5% from deep this season. The Timberwolves’ defense ranks 1st in opponent 3P% (33.7%). This is a weak prop—bet the UNDER.
2. Dereck Lively II Under 5.5 Rebounds (-141): Lively’s averaging 4.6 RPG but is playing just 17-12 minutes per game. He’s a rebound machine? Hardly. Bet the UNDER.
Why the Timberwolves Win:
- Anthony Edwards (27.3 PPG) vs. a Dallas defense that’s 24th in points allowed (120.7).
- Rudy Gobert’s rim protection (11.5 RPG) vs. Dallas’ lack of inside scoring (25th in FG% inside the arc).
- The Mavs’ 29th-ranked offense vs. the T-Wolves’ 11th-ranked defense.
Why the Mavericks Might Survive:
- Cooper Flagg (15.2 PPG) and Max Christie (11.5 PPG) could keep them in it if the 3-pointers fall.
- Minnesota’s 5th-ranked offense (120.7 PPG) might struggle against Dallas’ 21st-ranked defense.
Final Prediction:
The UNDER 231.5 (-110) is a no-brainer. The Mavs’ 29th-ranked offense vs. the T-Wolves’ 11th-ranked defense? This game will be slower than Anthony Davis’ recovery timeline. Bet the UNDER and laugh all the way to the bank.
Bonus Prop Joke:
If Donte DiVincenzo hits any three-pointer, I’ll eat my hat… and it’s a very stylish hat.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 108, Dallas 95. The UNDER wins, and D-Vinci misses all three of his shots. Cue the eye-rolls.
Created: Nov. 17, 2025, 8:07 p.m. GMT