Prop Bets: Detroit Lions VS Washington Commanders 2025-11-09

"Lions Pounce on Commanders: A Feast for Goff and a Famine for Mariota?"

The Detroit Lions (-8.5, implied probability: 65.5% via -8.5 spread) are poised to dominate the Washington Commanders (3-6) in Week 10, per the odds, which treat this like a "bring a blanket" mismatch. The Commanders, fresh off a four-game losing streak and sans QB Jayden Daniels (injured), are basically the NFL’s version of a Wi-Fi signal that flickers once a month.

Key Stats to Pounce On:
- Jared Goff’s Revenge Tour: Last season’s playoff humiliation (45-31 loss to Washington) fuels Detroit’s QB, who’s projected to obliterate his prop bet of 247.5 passing yards. Goff’s 17 TDs vs. 3 INTs this year? That’s the NFL’s version of a “no refunds” guarantee against the 29th-worst passing defense (253.6 YPG allowed).
- T.J. Hockenson’s Silent Treatment: The Commanders’ defense, which allows the most 20+-yard passes, might as well hand Goff a megaphone.
- Mariota’s “Under” Party: Washington’s 28th-ranked passing defense (377.8 YPG allowed) is a gift for the Lions’ secondary (5th in dropback EPA). Mariota’s prop of 205.5 passing yards? Bet on “Under” like it’s the final episode of a reality show you don’t care about.

Props to Punt On (or Not):
- Kalif Raymond (+575 to score a TD): The Lions’ WR, who’s seen 45.2% of Detroit’s snaps lately, is your “dark horse” scorer. At +575, it’s like buying a lottery ticket… if the lottery promised exactly 5.75% chance of winning.
- Over/Under 49 Points: With Washington’s offense sputtering (26th in scoring) and Detroit’s D stifling (12th in points allowed), this total feels like a middle school math problem: “If Lions shutout Commanders, how many points would the Under need to cover?”

The Verdict:
Detroit’s moneyline (1.21, ~55% implied) is about as safe as a squirrel in a nut factory. The Commanders (4.4, ~18.9% implied) are the NFL’s version of a “please try again” message. Bet the Lions to cover (-8.5) and laugh all the way to the bank—unless you’re a Washington fan, in which case, maybe check into a hammock and a good book.

Prop Bets to Shout From the Rooftops:
- Goff Over 247.5 Yards (CBS Sports’ AI says 278 YPG).
- Mariota Under 205.5 Yards (Lions’ D says “nice try, we’re taking 150”).
- Raymond’s +575 TD Shot (because “dark horse” is just a fancy term for “long shot”).

Final Score Prediction: Detroit 31, Washington 17. The Lions trot out the checkered flag, and the Commanders ask for a mercy rule. 🐆🔥

Created: Nov. 9, 2025, 2:44 p.m. GMT