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Prop Bets: Detroit Tigers VS Cleveland Guardians 2025-10-02

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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: A Wild Card Showdown
Date: October 2, 2025 | Time: 7:08 PM ET | Venue: Progressive Field

The Setup:
The Detroit Tigers, reeling after a 6-1 Game 2 loss, face elimination against the Cleveland Guardians. The Guardians, riding high on three home runs in Game 2 (Valera, Rocchio, Naylor), are favored at -113 on the moneyline. The total is set at 7 runs, with the under (-105) slightly more likely given the teams’ recent low-scoring trends.

Key Players & Props to Watch:
- Jack Flaherty (Tigers): The Tigers’ starter, Flaherty, has a 4.64 ERA and a 1.219 WHIP. He’s 0-2 in three career starts against Cleveland this season. Bet the Under 3.5 hits allowed (-115) as his control (2.3 BB/9) might crumble.
- Slade Cecconi (Guardians): The Guardians’ starter (4.30 ERA) has 13 Ks in 13 starts vs. Detroit this year. Take the Over 3.5 strikeouts (-118) if you trust his 6.2 K/9. But beware his 4.64 FIP and shaky defense.
- George Valera: The Guardians’ rookie slugger is 1-2 in Game 2. Bet Over 1.5 HR (+260) if you believe in his 0.333 ISO.
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Struggling with a .198 BA, but take the Under 0.5 HR (-150) as his power surge fades.

Why the Guardians Win:
Cleveland’s lineup (26 runs in 7 games) has the Tigers’ bullpen (4.75 ERA) on notice. Flaherty’s 4.64 ERA vs. the Guardians and Detroit’s 11 strikeouts in Game 2 suggest a repeat of their 11-2 loss. Take the Guardians -1.5 (-110) for a "must-win" Tigers’ collapse.

Why the Tigers Might Survive:
Flaherty’s 4.64 ERA is misleading—his FIP is 4.30. The Tigers’ .340 OBP vs. LHP could exploit Cecconi’s 3.9 BB/9. Bet the Over 7.5 runs (-116) if you expect a slugfest.

Final Prediction:
The Guardians win 4-2 as Cecconi outduels Flaherty. Valera’s HR (+260) and the Under 7 (-105) cash. Tigers’ fans, brace for another Flaherty meltdown.

Prop Pick: Slade Cecconi Over 3.5 strikeouts (-118). He’ll strike out 4, then blame the umpire.

Final Score: Cleveland 4, Detroit 2. Flaherty: 5 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 5 K. Valera: 2-for-3, HR, RBI.

"Baseball’s a game of inches—and Flaherty’s pitching from a mile away." 🎯⚾

Created: Oct. 2, 2025, 4:58 p.m. GMT