Prop Bets: Detroit Tigers VS New York Yankees 2025-09-10
Tigers vs. Yankees Prediction: A Statistical Slapdown in the Bronx
The New York Yankees (-150) host the Detroit Tigers (+140) in a pivotal AL East clash, but don’t let the line fool you—this is a Tigers’ game to take. Here’s why:
The Pitching Matchup: Left vs. Right
- Jack Flaherty (Tigers, 4.85 ERA) has been a disaster since the All-Star break (5.28 ERA), but the Tigers are a .275 team against left-handed pitching. Flaherty’s 21.4% walk rate (21st in MLB) is a gift for a Tigers lineup that’s 2nd in slugging vs. lefties.
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees, 3.12 ERA) is sharp, but his 12 starts with 3+ walks (12 times!) and the Tigers’ aggressive approach could lead to chaos.
Verdict: Flaherty’s control issues and the Tigers’ lefty dominance make this a Tigers -1.5 spread play.
Key Prop Bets
1. Over 8.5 Total Runs (-110):
Flaherty’s 5.28 ERA post-break and Rodón’s 3.12 ERA combine for a high-scoring script. The Tigers’ .275 vs. lefties and the Yankees’ .260 OBP (10th MLB) seal it.
- Aaron Judge Home Run (+230):
Judge’s 33 HRs in 2024 and Rodón’s 1.5 HR/9 ERA make this a no-brainer.
- Over 5.5 Strikeouts for Flaherty (-136):
Flaherty’s 5.5 K/9 (12th in AL) and the Yankees’ .310 OBP vs. lefties? Take the over.
- Tigers Total Bases Over 4.5 (-115):
Detroit’s .312 AVG vs. lefties and Rodón’s 1.25 BB/9? Over it is.
Final Verdict
Tigers -1.5 (-110): The Tigers’ lefty lineup exploits Flaherty’s weaknesses.
Over 8.5 Runs (-110): A high-scoring affair.
Judge HR (+230): The GOAT of the GOATs.
Final Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Yankees 4.
Play it safe, or play it smart—either way, the Tigers are the team to back. 🎯
Created: Sept. 10, 2025, 4:41 p.m. GMT