Prop Bets: Detroit Tigers VS Pittsburgh Pirates 2025-07-21
The Tigers vs. Pirates Showdown: A Tale of Two Teams (and One Very Tired Bat)
July 21, 2025 | Pittsburgh Pirates (39-61) vs. Detroit Tigers (60-40)
The Verdict:
The Detroit Tigers are about to make the Pittsburgh Pirates wish they’d brought a better bat to the game. With Jack Flaherty on the mound for Detroit and Paul Skenes for Pittsburgh, this game is a classic case of "don’t bet on the team that just lost 9 of 10." The Pirates’ offense is so anemic, even a squirrel could out-hit them. The Tigers, meanwhile, are 60-40, which is basically a math problem that reads: "How many losses can a team endure before they finally just… stop losing?"
Why the UNDER 7 Runs Bet is a No-Brainer:
The Pirates’ hitters have combined to hit fewer home runs than a toddler’s tantrums. Skenes has allowed more than 2 ER in just 3 of 20 starts this season—that’s elite company, folks. Pair that with Flaherty’s 3.50 ERA and the Tigers’ recent 57.7% UNDER rate? This game is about to be a snoozefest. The implied total of 7 runs? That’s what you get when you ask a spreadsheet to write a joke.
Player Props to Steal (or at Least Consider):
- Bryan Reynolds (PIT): Over 0.5 hits (-210). Reynolds is hitting .285 this season—because "average" isn’t dramatic enough.
- Paul Skenes (PIT): Under 1.5 earned runs (-135). He’s allowed 1.5+ ER just 3 times all year. Let the man keep his pristine résumé.
- Jack Flaherty (DET): Over 4.5 hits allowed (+125). Flaherty’s given up 4.5+ hits in 12 starts. It’s a numbers game, and the Pirates are all out of numbers.
The Odds Breakdown:
- Moneyline: Tigers (+205) vs. Pirates (-250). The math here is simple: Don’t bet on the team that’s 39-61.
- Spread: Tigers -1.5 (-110) / Pirates +1.5 (-110). The Tigers’ offense is just good enough to cover, but not good enough to win.
- Total: UNDER 7 (-110). The Pirates’ .235 team batting average is lower than my chances of winning a trivia contest about 1980s hairbands.
Final Prediction:
The Tigers win 3-1, Skenes pitches like a cyborg, and Bryan Reynolds gets 2 hits to make everyone forget how bad the Pirates are. The UNDER 7 runs line is your friend here—unless you enjoy losing money to statistical inevitability.
Bonus Prop Bet:
Will the Pirates score more than 2 runs? Under 2.5 runs (-200). Because if they do, I’m retiring from sports betting.
Go Tigers. And also, please, for the love of all that is holy, trade for a competent hitter. 🐔🔥
Created: July 21, 2025, 8:24 p.m. GMT