Prop Bets: Edmonton Oilers VS Toronto Maple Leafs 2025-12-13
Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs: A Prop Bet-Fueled Shootout (With Zero Surprises)
The Edmonton Oilers (-118) and Toronto Maple Leafs (-102) clash in a high-octane matchup where both teams average over 3.3 goals per game but somehow manage to look equally unimpressive on defense. The Oilers, now armed with new goaltender Tristan Jarry (traded for Stuart Skinner, because "strategic shifts" sounds way less dramatic than "we’re panicking"), will face a Maple Leafs squad missing Joseph Woll but hoping Oliver Ekman-Larsson isn’t too concussed to skate.
Key Player Props to Bet Your Grandma’s Sled On:
1. Connor McDavid Over 1.5 Points (+105): The Great One has 48 points this season, 12 in his last four games, and a 33.3% chance of outscoring a power play. If he doesn’t drop two more pucks in the net or an assist, I’ll eat my jersey. Implied probability? ~49.5% — basically, "he’s human, but barely."
2. Leon Draisaitl Over 0.5 Assists (-160): With seven assists in four games and a 60% implied chance of not being invisible, Draisaitl is your "safe" bet. Unless the Leafs’ defense starts playing chess. Implied probability? ~61.5% — "You’re paying me to say ‘Leon gets a helper’? Sign me up."
3. Carter Verhaeghe Anytime Goal (+220): The Leafs’ forward has five December goals, including a two-goal game last week. At +220, this is the NHL version of betting on a snowstorm in Toronto. Implied probability? ~31.25% — "It’s a long shot, but if he scores, you’ll feel like you’ve won the lottery… in a parallel universe."
Why the Oilers Win (Again):
The Oilers are -1.5-goal favorites (-252) despite trading Brett Kulak and Stuart Skinner. How? Because McDavid and Draisaitl have combined for 21 points in four games, and Jarry’s new contract probably includes a clause about "not looking panicked." The Over/Under is 6.5 goals, and with both teams leaking pucks like a sieve, the Over (-110 across the board) is a statistical inevitability.
Final Prediction:
Edmonton 4, Toronto 2. The Oilers will win by exactly two goals (to cover the spread) while McDavid logs three points and Verhaeghe scores a fluky empty-netter. Draisaitl gets an assist, because Leon Draisaitl always gets an assist. The total goals? 6.5 — we’ll call it 6 because "math is hard, and the under is cheaper."
Betting Take:
- Moneyline: Oilers at -118 (implied 54.4% — "Pay $118 to win $100? Sounds like a tax, but a smart one.")
- Spreads: Oilers -1.5 at -252 (implied 71.4% — "You’re saying the Oilers won’t win by two? I’ll take that bet with a side of existential dread.")
In conclusion, this game is a prop bet buffet. Grab a hot dog, laugh at the Leafs’ defense, and hope Jarry doesn’t cough up a goal to Verhaeghe. The Oilers will win, but not before making us all question the meaning of "defense."
Created: Dec. 13, 2025, 10:08 p.m. GMT