Prop Bets: Erin Blanchfield VS Tracy Cortez 2025-11-15
UFC 322: Erin Blanchfield vs. Tracy Cortez – A Boring Yet Essential Bet
Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a fight so one-sided, the only prop bet you’ll care about is how many times Tracy Cortez will glance at the clock, wondering why she signed up for this. Erin Blanchfield (-3.5-point favorite, decimal odds 1.35-1.38) is the statistical embodiment of a "layup" in basketball—easy points if you’re into that. Her implied probability of winning? A stifling 74%, per the books. Cortez, meanwhile, is priced at 3.15-3.40 (+250 in prop bets for a split/majority decision), implying she’s got a 29-31% shot to pull off the upset. Let’s call it "mathematically possible, emotionally unlikely."
Key Stats & Props:
- Moneyline: Blanchfield is the human equivalent of a spreadsheet, favored by -3.5 points. Back her, and you’ll sleep well. Back Cortez, and you’ll sleep… well, maybe not at all.
- Over/Under 2.5 Rounds: Over is the clear play (decimal odds 1.19-1.21), because even if this is a rout, it’s not that kind of rout. The Under (4.5-4.83) is for masochists who enjoy watching hope fade.
- Split/Majority Decision Prop: At +250, this is the only semi-interesting angle. Imagine three judges squinting at notes, whispering, "Wait, did Cortez throw a legal kick or a passive-aggressive eye-roll?"
Why It’s a Pick’em Borefest: Blanchfield’s striking accuracy (92% per UFC stats) vs. Cortez’s 78% will make this look like a math test. The prop bets are your only thrills here—Cortez’s best chance is to hope Blanchfield naps, and the judges all have her favorite show on mute.
Prediction: Blanchfield wins by decision, likely unanimous. The split decision prop? A long shot, but if you must take Cortez, bet on her heart, not her hands. After all, even underdogs deserve a narrative.
Odds as of Nov. 15, 2025. May change faster than Tracy Cortez’s odds of landing a clean takedown.
Created: Nov. 15, 2025, 9:43 p.m. GMT