Prop Bets: Essendon Bombers VS Gold Coast Suns 2025-08-27
Gold Coast Suns vs. Essendon Bombers: A Finals Frenzy with Zero Drama (For Essendon)
The Setup:
The Gold Coast Suns (14-8), chasing their first finals berth since 2011, host the Essendon Bombers (6-16), who’ve lost 12 straight and are playing for pride like it’s their full-time job. The Suns need a win to leapfrog the Western Bulldogs in the ladder (points-percentage be damned), while Essendon hopes to end their season on a high note—by which I mean not setting a new AFL record for futility.
The Odds:
- Moneyline: Gold Coast is a near-even favorite at +106 (DraftKings) and +101 (Bovada). Essendon? A +900 long shot, which mathematically implies a 9.7% chance to win. Spoiler: Math is wrong.
- Spread: Gold Coast is a -51.5 favorite at -187 across the board. Essendon’s +51.5 line is a Hail Mary for Bombers fans, who’ve probably already started drafting their “We Told You So” letters to the team’s medical staff.
- Totals: The Over/Under is 170.5 (DraftKings) and 168.5 (BetUS). Given Essendon’s defense and Gold Coast’s “desperate for points” energy, this game’s score will make a kindergarten math test look complex.
The Stats:
- Gold Coast has won 6 of 7 since their three-game skid, including a nail-biting 4-point loss to Port Adelaide where they “forgot how to kick forward.”
- Essendon’s 12-game losing streak is longer than a politician’s memory. Their last win? Let’s not dig up that trauma.
- The Suns’ potential reinforcements, Daniel Rioli and Bailey Humphrey, are listed as “handy” by coach Noah Anderson. Translation: We’re not telling you how bad it’s been without them.
The Verdict:
Gold Coast is a 75% implied favorite (per their +106 odds—math: 100/(106+100)=48.5%, but let’s round up for poetic justice). Essendon’s 9.7% chance? More likely the percentage of fans still checking their TV guides for updates.
Final Prediction:
The Suns will win by 52 points (to cover the -51.5 spread) while lighting up the scoreboard to make the Over a foregone conclusion. Essendon’s best bet? Hope Chris Scott invents a time machine and sends them back to 2011.
Prop Bet Pick:
Gold Coast to score first quarter (-110). Why? Because panic is the only thing these Suns play better than defense.
Final Score Prediction: Gold Coast 14.12 (96) – Essendon 6.8 (44). Yes, Essendon will score 44 points. Because even the worst team in the league can’t be that bad… right? 🏑
Created: Aug. 27, 2025, 12:28 a.m. GMT