Prop Bets: Felipe Lima VS Payton Talbott 2025-06-28
UFC 317: Payton Talbott vs. Felipe Lima – A Boring Masterpiece?
Where the Only Upset Is Your Boredom Threshold
The Stats:
- Felipe Lima (14-0, 14-fight win streak): A takedown artist averaging 1.71 takedowns per fight (42% accuracy). The "Jungle Boy" loves to grapple his way to decisions or late subs.
- Payton Talbott (11-1): Fresh off his first pro loss this year. The "Tennessee Twister" will need to avoid the mat to stay relevant.
The Odds (June 28, 2025):
- Moneyline:
- Felipe Lima: 1.56–1.62 (DraftKings: 1.59)
- Payton Talbott: 2.35–2.5 (DraftKings: 2.42)
- Spread:
- Lima -3.5 (2.3 odds)
- Talbott +3.5 (1.56 odds)
- Total Rounds:
- Over/Under 2.5 rounds (Over: 1.41, Under: 2.85–2.95)
Prop Bets to Waste Your Money On:
- Takedown Differential: Bet on Lima (-3.5) to showcase his ground game.
- Decision by Unanimous Verdict: A snoozer, but safe if you hate surprises.
Prediction:
Lima’s takedowns are about as exciting as a tax audit, but hey, they work. Talbott will try to dance and dart, but after a grueling 2.5 rounds of being ground-and-pounded, Lima will likely earn a decision (or a last-second submission to make it “exciting”).
Why You Should Bet on Talbott?
Only if you want to cry into your beer while chanting, “This is why we can’t have nice things!”
Final Score Prediction:
Felipe Lima via unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28). The Under on rounds covers because this fight will be slower than your grandma’s Wi-Fi.
Place your bets, then blame the oddsmakers when Talbott pulls off the unthinkable… or just naps. 🥲
Created: June 28, 2025, 8:51 p.m. GMT