Prop Bets: Felix Auger-Aliassime VS Arthur Rinderknech 2025-08-11

Humorous Prediction: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Arthur Rinderknech (ATP Cincinnati Open)
August 11, 2025 | 3:00 PM ET

Folks, this is the tennis equivalent of ordering a café au lait in Montreal and getting handed a baguette instead. Felix Auger-Aliassime is the heavy favorite here, with implied probabilities hovering around 70-75% (thanks to his -150 to -200 American odds across books). The man’s basically a Montreal-based algorithm designed to win tennis matches. Arthur Rinderknech, meanwhile, is the charming Frenchman who’ll either pull off a Le French Connection upset or serve so many double faults he’ll need a defibrillator.

Key Stats & Odds:
- Head-to-Head (H2H): Auger-Aliassime is priced at 1.43-1.45 (implied win probability: ~70%), while Rinderknech sits at 2.7-2.9 (~25-35%).
- Spreads: Auger-Aliassime is a -2.5-set favorite at 1.8-1.9, meaning bookmakers think Rinderknech’s best shot is a three-set "I almost won" party.
- Totals: The game total is 23.5-24.0 games, with even money on Over/Under. Expect a match longer than a Netflix series finale—i.e., very dramatic.

Player Props to Note:
- Auger-Aliassime’s first-serve percentage (betting on him to exceed 68%) is quietly a lock. His serve is smoother than a Montréal poutine.
- Rinderknech’s "break points converted" prop is a gamble for gamblers. He’ll need to summon the same magic that got him past Shapovalov (who, let’s be real, was playing with a “meh” energy).

Prediction:
Auger-Aliassime will win in three sets, 6-3, 6-4, 6-3, because Montreal’s pride can’t afford another heart attack. Rinderknech might win a set to save face, but Felix? He’s here to remind everyone why he’s the future of tennis—unless the future is a robot with a 70% implied probability.

Place your bets, but maybe leave a slice of baguette for luck. 🥐🎾

Created: Aug. 11, 2025, 7:11 a.m. GMT