Prop Bets: Flavio Cobolli VS Jenson Brooksby 2025-08-28

Humorous Prediction: Flavio Cobolli vs. Jenson Brooksby – US Open 2025

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a serving of suspense as Flavio Cobolli (seed 24) faces Jenson Brooksby in a third-round US Open clash that’s as lopsided as a tennis ball in a wind tunnel. The odds? Let’s just say the books aren’t giving Brooksby a chance to serve justice.

The Numbers Don’t Lie (Well, They Do, But They’re Trying):
- Cobolli is the chalk at -2.5 sets across most books (odds: 1.82–1.91), implying a 52–57% implied probability to cover.
- Head-to-Head (H2H): Cobolli is priced as low as 1.57 (DraftKings), translating to a 63.7% implied chance to win. Brooksby? A paltry 2.38 (BetRivers) = 41.9%. Bring an umbrella for the underdog’s hopes—they’ll need a downpour.
- Totals: The line is 38.5 total games (odds: 1.87–1.93 for over/under). Given Cobolli’s seeding and Brooksby’s underdog status, this feels like a “let’s see how many games it takes for me to nap” scenario.

Player Props to Bet Against Your Friends:
- Cobolli to win by 3+ sets: Not explicitly listed, but his spread line (-2.5 to -3.0) suggests bookmakers think a 4-1 rout is in the cards.
- Brooksby to win a set: At +3.0 sets on the spread (odds: 1.83–1.95), this is your “sucker bet” if you need a guaranteed loss to mock a friend.

Why It’s a Laugher:
Cobolli, the 24th seed, is the definition of “meh, I’ll take it” in this matchup. Brooksby, meanwhile, is the human equivalent of a double fault—enthusiastic but doomed. The spread (-2.5 to -3.0) is so steep, it’s like the bookmakers handed Brooksby a weighted racquet and said, “Here, try to win.”

Final Verdict:
Cobolli will cruise to a 6-2, 6-3, 6-4 victory, making the “38.5 over” a safe bet for those who really want to feel something. Brooksby’s best move? Retire to a life of golf, where losing 18 holes feels less like a humiliation.

Place your bets, then weep quietly in the corner. 🎾😭

Created: Aug. 28, 2025, 12:15 p.m. GMT