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Prop Bets: Golden State Valkyries VS Connecticut Sun 2025-07-27

Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: A Comedy of Errors (With a Side of Defense)

The Golden State Valkyries (-278, implied 73.7% win probability) are about to make the Connecticut Sun (3-20, +222) feel like they’re playing basketball in a phone booth. With a defense that allows a WNBA-low 78.0 points per game and a 3-0 ATS record as favorites this season, the Valkyries are primed to stifle the league’s 13th-ranked offense (73.3 PPG). Let’s break it down with the precision of a TikTok algorithm:

• Moneyline Math: The Valkyries’ 73.7% implied win probability vs. the Sun’s 30.8% is as lopsided as a TikTok duet. Golden State’s 87-63 win in their first meeting wasn’t a fluke—it was a mercy rule.
  - Total Points: The 155.5-point line is 2.8 points below this season’s combined average (152.7), but don’t expect fireworks. The Valkyries’ defense is a nap-inducing 9.1 points under the Sun’s offensive average. Sleep in, fans—this won’t be a track meet.
  - Player Props to Ponder:
  - Veronica Burton (-130) to rack up >5.5 assists: She’s the Valkyries’ triple-threat leader, and the Sun’s shaky backcourt won’t slow her down.
  - Tina Charles (+370) for a double-double: She’s the Sun’s lone offensive star, and with Golden State’s frontcourt defense preoccupied, “Tina Time” might actually arrive.
  - Tiffany Hayes (-114) to score >14.5 points: Good luck. The Valkyries’ defense has her number, and Hayes’ 3.5-assist under bet (-144) is a surefire snoozer.

Final Verdict: The Valkyries’ 6.5-point spread (-6.5) is a safe bet, especially with their road record (3-3) about to get a much-needed boost. The Sun, meanwhile, will likely continue their 3-20 dirge, proving that even a five-game road trip can’t fix a broken team.

Prediction: Golden State 74, Connecticut 60. The Sun will set on this game, and not just because it’s nighttime. 🌅

Created: July 27, 2025, 4:30 a.m. GMT