Prop Bets: Golden State Valkyries VS Seattle Storm 2025-07-16

Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: A Tale of Overdogs and Underdogs

The Golden State Valkyries (+6.5, 36/1 on the moneyline) are about to play the Seattle Storm (-6.5, 1.0/1 on the moneyline) like a game of chess where the Storm forgot to bring their queen. Literally. Check the props: Skylar Diggins-Smith’s under 0.5 three-pointers is priced at -10,000. That’s not a bet—it’s a math error waiting to happen. The woman has never hit a three-pointer in her life. (Note: She has. Twice. In 2015. This is a joke. Probably.)

Why the Valkyries Might Cover (Despite Looking Like They’ll Need a Towel):
- The Storm are 0-4 ATS in their last four games, which is about as reliable as a umbrella in a hurricane.
- Nneka Ogwumike (16.9 PPG) is on a 3-point shooting streak that would make Steph Curry blush. The Valkyries’ defense? “Tough” might be the nicest thing you can say.
- The spread is all over the place (4.5 to 7.5 points), because bookmakers can’t decide if this is a WNBA game or a game of Guess How Bad the Storm Actually Are.

Player Props to Bet on While the Storm Swoon:
1. Janelle Salaun Over 10.5 Points (+134): The rookie is averaging 11.2 PPG this season. This isn’t a prop—it’s a formality.
2. Diggins-Smith Under 6.5 Assists (-2000): She’s averaging 5.3 APG. That’s not a prop; that’s a gentleman’s agreement.
3. Erica Wheeler Under 13.5 Points (-210): She’s scoring 12.1 PPG. If you like safe bets, this is your emotional support prop.

The Verdict:
The Storm are favored by 6.5 points, but their “win” depends on whether the Valkyries’ defense decides to show up. (Spoiler: It won’t.) The total is 125.5, but with Golden State’s recent struggles and Seattle’s “mystery inconsistency,” this game might end 63-62. Bet the under if you enjoy heartburn.

Final Prediction:
Seattle Storm 78, Golden State Valkyries 75. The Storm win, but the Valkyries cover the spread because, apparently, math hates consistency.

Implied probabilities for fun: Storm win at 1.0 odds = 50% chance. Valkyries covering the spread at -110 = 52.4% chance. Math checks out. Probably.

Created: July 16, 2025, 9:07 p.m. GMT