Prop Bets: Golden State Valkyries VS Washington Mystics 2025-07-31
Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics: A Playoff Thriller with a Side of Props
The WNBA’s playoff race gets a little tighter as the Golden State Valkyries (12-13) invade the Washington Mystics’ (13-13) fortress tonight. With both teams clinging to playoff hopes, the Mystics are favored (-136) at home, translating to a 57.3% implied win probability—just 0.3% shy of their computer-predicted 57.6% edge. The Valkyries, meanwhile, carry a 46.7% implied chance, per the spread, but let’s be real: Washington’s 80.5 PPG allowed vs. Golden State’s 78.7 PPG scored? The math says “see you later, Valkyries.”
Key Stats to Know:
- Mystics’ defense is a fortress, holding opponents to 80.5 PPG (4th in the league).
- Valkyries’ offense is a steady 78.7 PPG, but they’ll need to break through Washington’s lockdown.
- The total is set at 154.5, but with Washington averaging 160.3 PPG this season (5.8 points above the line), the over is a tempting play.
Player Props to Watch:
- Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries): Over/Under 13.5 points. The three-point ace (1.9 made per game) is priced at -135 for the over. If she heats up, this line might as well be a freebet.
- Shakira Austin (Mystics): Over/Under 14.5 points (-110). Her -110 line? The bookmakers are clearly confident she’ll hit this mark.
- Brittney Sykes (Mystics): Over 13.5 points (-115). The team’s scoring leader (16.1 PPG) is a lock, but her assists prop (4.5) is a toss-up: Over at +120 vs. Under -154. Bet the under if you value your sanity.
- Veronica Burton (Valkyries): Over 4.5 assists at +100. A risky +100 shot if you’re chasing value, but her 4.5 assist line is as high as her hopes for a second date with the playoffs.
The Verdict:
Washington’s homecourt magic, combined with their 13-13 ATS record vs. Golden State’s 14-11 ATS, makes the Mystics a slightly smarter bet than a blindfolded fan picking “home team.” The over on points? Well, the Mystics’ 160.3 PPG average vs. 154.5 total? That’s like betting on a hot dog eating contest and picking the guy who trained for it.
Final Prediction:
Washington 82, Golden State 75. And yes, Tiffany Hayes will miss her over/under by exactly 0.5 points. It’s poetic.
“The Valkyries may carry swords, but the Mystics have spreads.” 🏀🔥
Created: July 31, 2025, 1:44 p.m. GMT