Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors VS Denver Nuggets 2025-11-07
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets: A One-Sided Romp or a Rocky Road for Curry’s Absence?
The Golden State Warriors, sans Stephen Curry (illness) and with Jimmy Butler (questionable), are about to face the Denver Nuggets in a game that’s already a foregone conclusion. The odds? Denver is a -476 favorite on the moneyline, and the spread is a brutal -10.5 for the Dubs. The total is set at 227.5, and the under is favored. Why? Because the Nuggets are a paint-devouring, rebound-hoarding, triple-double-machine led by Nikola Jokic. The Warriors? They’re a 3-point reliant team facing a defense that allows just 32% shooting from deep. It’s like bringing a spoon to a gunfight.
Key Stats to Note:
- Denver’s 56.7% rebounding rate at home will crush Golden State’s hopes.
- Jokic’s 49.5 PRA (points/rebounds/assists) prop is a -111 favorite. He’s averaging 25.5/12.5/10.5 this season.
- The Warriors’ 23.5 3PT% vs. Denver’s 32% allowed? A recipe for disaster.
Player Props to Watch:
- Nikola Jokic Triple-Double: -106 (He’s done it 5x in 7 games this season).
- Jamal Murray: Over 26.5 points (-115). He’ll feast on a shorthanded Warriors defense.
- Jimmy Butler: Under 19.5 points (-110). If he plays, he’ll be lucky to hit double digits.
Prediction:
The Nuggets will win 120-105, Jokic will rack up a triple-double, and the under 227.5 total will hit as both teams tighten up in the second half. The only prop worth betting? Nikola Jokic to record a double-double—it’s a -1100 lock.
Final Score: Denver 120, Golden State 105. Curry’s illness? A blessing in disguise for the spread.
Created: Nov. 7, 2025, 11:20 p.m. GMT