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Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors VS Portland Trail Blazers 2025-12-14

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Golden State Warriors vs. Portland Trail Blazers: A Tale of Two Teams (and a Few Prop Bets)

The Golden State Warriors (13-13) and Portland Trail Blazers (9-16) clash on Sunday, December 14, 2025, in a matchup that’s equal parts "here we go again" and "here’s hoping for a miracle." The Warriors, favored by 4 points (-180) with a moneyline implying a 61.7% chance to win, are coming off a 127-120 loss to the Timberwolves, where Stephen Curry dropped 39 points but couldn’t save the day. The Blazers, meanwhile, are a 2.65 underdog mess, but their home fans might give them a jolt after covering 6 of their last 10 home games.

The Big Picture
- Warriors’ Weaknesses: A porous defense (120.1 PPG allowed) and a missing Draymond Green (injured) for most of the season. Their recent offensive slump (110.9 PPG) doesn’t inspire confidence.
- Blazers’ Spark: Deni Avdija is averaging 25.4 PPG and has a prop bet at -114 for over 25.5 points. If he’s hot, Portland could shock the Dubs.

Key Props to Target
1. Stephen Curry Over 28.5 Points (-114): Curry’s 39-point explosion vs. Minnesota shows he can still torch anyone. Take the over if he’s in a shooting groove.
2. Under 234.5 Total Points (-110): Both teams have underperformed offensively recently. The Warriors’ 110.9 PPG and Blazers’ 115.3 PPG suggest a low-scoring affair.
3. Avdija Over 25.5 Points (-114): The rookie phenom is riding a 25.4 PPG tear. Lay the points if you think he’ll keep it up.

Why the Warriors Win
- Curry’s Magic: Even with a shaky defense, Steph’s 30-point nights are a given.
- Depth: Bench players like Brandin Podziemski (7.2 PPG) and Moses Moody (6.2 PPG) add consistency.

Why the Blazers Could Pull Off the Upset
- Home Court: Portland’s fans have been a lifeline, and the Warriors are just 6-9 on the road.
- Injury Luck: The Dubs’ Draymond Green (back) and the Blazers’ Damian Lillard (Achilles) are both out, but the Blazers’ depth might hold up better.

Final Verdict
Pick: Golden State Warriors -4 (-110) — They’re the better team, but don’t expect a blowout.
Prop: Under 234.5 Total Points (-110) — Both defenses are leaky, but the offense? Not so much.
Dark Horse: Avdija Over 25.5 Points (-114) — If he keeps this up, he’s the real deal.

Remember to bet responsibly, and if you’re in Portland, bring a sweater — it’s going to be a cold night for the Warriors. 🏀🔥

Created: Dec. 14, 2025, 5:01 p.m. GMT