Prop Bets: Hamad Medjedovic VS Tallon Griekspoor 2025-08-10
Tallon Griekspoor vs. Hamad Medjedovic: A Tennis Tug-of-War with No Clear Winner (But We’re Calling It)
The ATP Cincinnati Open’s Round of 64 pits Tallon Griekspoor (-115) against Hamad Medjedovic (-110) in a statistical stalemate that’s basically tennis’s version of a “coin flip, but with more sweat.” The decimal odds (Griekspoor: 1.77–1.80, Medjedovic: 2.00–2.05) imply Griekspoor has a 56–57% chance to win, while Medjedovic clings to a 48.8–50% shot. In other words, this is the tennis equivalent of betting on which sock will survive laundry day first.
Why Griekspoor Might Win (According to the Math):
- The implied probability gives him a slight edge, though it’s narrow enough to fit a tennis ball through.
- The spread markets (-1.5 games for Griekspoor at BetRivers) suggest bookmakers think he’ll win comfortably… unless Medjedovic decides to play “Hamad the Hammer” and smash his way to an upset.
Why Medjedovic Might Win (According to Hope):
- His +2.05 price at DraftKings means a $100 bet returns $205 if he pulls off the shocker. That’s the kind of payout that makes underdogs believe they’re actually invincible.
- The totals line hovers around 23.5–25.5 games (Over/Under). If you’re betting Over, you’re banking on a grueling three-setter; Under implies a clean, clinical two-set exit for Griekspoor.
Player Prop Bets to Consider:
- Griekspoor -1.5 Games (BetRivers: +206): If you think he’ll dominate, this is your play. If you’re realistic, you’ll remember that Medjedovic isn’t exactly a pushover.
- Medjedovic +1.5 Games (BetRivers: -271): A safer bet for those who prefer not to lose money slowly.
Final Verdict:
This match is a statistical photo finish, but the numbers nudge toward Griekspoor in three sets (6-4, 6-3). However, if Medjedovic’s serve finds its range, he’ll turn this into a “See you in the third set” thriller. For prop bets, take Under 24.5 games—because neither player wants to be out here longer than necessary on a Sunday evening.
Place your bets, but don’t blame me when Medjedovic pulls off the “Hamster in the Gym” comeback. 🎾🔥
Created: Aug. 10, 2025, 12:32 p.m. GMT