Prop Bets: Houston Astros VS Arizona Diamondbacks 2025-07-22
Astros vs. Diamondbacks: A Tale of Two Pitchers and a Home Run Hero
The Houston Astros (-131) are the clear favorites in this matchup, and honestly, it’s not even close. Framber Valdez, the man with a 2.75 ERA and a 14-5 record in his starts, is taking the mound like he’s auditioning for a Hall of Fame highlight reel. Meanwhile, Arizona’s Eduardo Rodriguez is… well, he’s not Valdez. With a 5.94 ERA and 16 home runs allowed in 8.1 innings this month, Rodriguez is about as reliable as a broken umbrella in a hurricane.
Why Bet the Astros?
- Valdez’s Vengeance: His 9.8 K/9 rate and 2.75 ERA make him a nightmare for opposing lineups. The Diamondbacks’ bats? They’ve gone 1-8 in their last eight games against left-handed pitching.
- Cam Smith’s Home Run Prop: The AL Rookie of the Year candidate is a -125 lock to go deep against Rodriguez, who’s given up 5 HRs in 8.1 innings this month. Take the Over on Smith’s HRs (0.5, -125) like it’s a free ticket to the bleachers.
Diamondbacks: A Team in Peril
Arizona’s offense, which leads MLB in runs scored (515), will face Valdez, who’s held opponents to a .198 average this season. Their slugger Eugenio Suarez (35 HRs) might swing for the fences, but Rodriguez’s ERA says “not today.”
Prop Bets to Snag
- Cam Smith Over 0.5 HRs (-125): Rodriguez’s home run issues make this a no-brainer.
- Valdez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-142): With a 9.8 K/9, Valdez is a strikeout machine.
- Astros Moneyline (-131): Their 14-5 record in Valdez’s starts? That’s not a bet—it’s a guarantee.
Final Score Prediction
Houston 5, Arizona 2. Because even if the Diamondbacks’ offense wakes up, Rodriguez’s ERA (5.94) is already higher than their chances.
TL;DR: Bet the Astros, Cam Smith’s HR prop, and enjoy watching Rodriguez struggle. It’s a night for the Astros to shine—and for Arizona to… well, not.
Created: July 22, 2025, 9:25 p.m. GMT