Prop Bets: Houston Astros VS Colorado Rockies 2025-07-03
Astros vs. Rockies: The Rockies Are "Under" Pressure to Not Suck 🏟️⚾
The Houston Astros (52-34) are here to remind the Colorado Rockies (19-67) why they’re the kings of this intraleague circus, and the Rockies are just the opening act. With a moneyline of -286 (implied probability: ~74%) at FanDuel, the Astros are about as heavy a favorite as a guy named "Isaac Paredes" hitting 17 home runs this season. Meanwhile, the Rockies, who win just 22% of games as underdogs, are priced at +230—meaning if you bet $100 on them, you’d get $230 if they somehow pull off a miracle (and maybe a meteor strike).
Why the Astros Are (Probably) Winning:
- The Astros’ pitching staff strikes out batters at a 10 K/9 rate—good enough for 1st in the majors.
- Their 61.7% win rate when favored suggests they take "favored" as a personal insult and respond by winning.
- The Rockies’ 5.51 ERA (30th in MLB) means even their relief pitchers throw like they’re in a slow-motion car commercial.
Why the Rockies Are (Probably) Losing:
- Hunter Goodman’s 16 HRs and 50 RBI can’t save a team that’s been outscored by 142 runs this season.
- Coors Field, usually a hitter’s paradise, might as well be a desert for Rockies pitchers.
Model Says "Under" the Combined Runs (10.1):
The SportsLine Projection Model thinks this game will be about as explosive as a wet sock—10.1 combined runs. While most books have the total between 13.5-14.5, the model’s "Under" pick is a contrarian gem. If you trust the Astros’ pitching and the Rockies’ hitting (you do), take the Under 13.5 at DraftKings (-110) and laugh all the way to the bank.
Player Props to Mock:
- Christian Walker (Astros): Bet the Under 0.5 hits at Bovada (-410) and watch as Walker becomes the latest victim of "statistically significant disappointment." The line is so lopsided, it’s like betting a rock won’t float.
Final Prediction:
The Astros will cruise to a win, the Rockies will serve as a human pinata for strikeouts, and Christian Walker will prove that "under 0.5 hits" is just a fancy way of saying "good luck, buddy."
Pick: Astros -2.5 (-110) at Bovada | Under 13.5 runs (-110) | Walker Under 0.5 hits (-410)
Note: If the Rockies somehow win, check your TV—maybe you’re watching a parallel universe where baseball defies logic. 🚀
Astros vs. Rockies: The Rockies Are "Under" Pressure to Not Suck 🏟️⚾
The Houston Astros (52-34) are here to remind the Colorado Rockies (19-67) why they’re the kings of this intraleague circus, and the Rockies are just the opening act. With a moneyline of -286 (implied probability: ~74%) at FanDuel, the Astros are about as heavy a favorite as a guy named "Isaac Paredes" hitting 17 home runs this season. Meanwhile, the Rockies, who win just 22% of games as underdogs, are priced at +230—meaning if you bet $100 on them, you’d get $230 if they somehow pull off a miracle (and maybe a meteor strike).
Why the Astros Are (Probably) Winning:
- The Astros’ pitching staff strikes out batters at a 10 K/9 rate—good enough for 1st in the majors.
- Their 61.7% win rate when favored suggests they take "favored" as a personal insult and respond by winning.
- The Rockies’ 5.51 ERA (30th in MLB) means even their relief pitchers throw like they’re in a slow-motion car commercial.
Why the Rockies Are (Probably) Losing:
- Hunter Goodman’s 16 HRs and 50 RBI can’t save a team that’s been outscored by 142 runs this season.
- Coors Field, usually a hitter’s paradise, might as well be a desert for Rockies pitchers.
Model Says "Under" the Combined Runs (10.1):
The SportsLine Projection Model thinks this game will be about as explosive as a wet sock—10.1 combined runs. While most books have the total between 13.5-14.5, the model’s "Under" pick is a contrarian gem. If you trust the Astros’ pitching and the Rockies’ hitting (you do), take the Under 13.5 at DraftKings (-110) and laugh all the way to the bank.
Player Props to Mock:
- Christian Walker (Astros): Bet the Under 0.5 hits at Bovada (-410) and watch as Walker becomes the latest victim of "statistically significant disappointment." The line is so lopsided, it’s like betting a rock won’t float.
Final Prediction:
The Astros will cruise to a win, the Rockies will serve as a human pinata for strikeouts, and Christian Walker will prove that "under 0.5 hits" is just a fancy way of saying "good luck, buddy."
Pick: Astros -2.5 (-110) at Bovada | Under 13.5 runs (-110) | Walker Under 0.5 hits (-410)
Note: If the Rockies somehow win, check your TV—maybe you’re watching a parallel universe where baseball defies logic. 🚀
Created: July 3, 2025, 10:07 p.m. GMT