Prop Bets: Houston Astros VS Los Angeles Dodgers 2025-07-06

Astros vs. Dodgers: A "Sweep"ing Comedy of Errors (and Homeruns)

The Houston Astros, fresh off a 24-5 series domination, are here to party like it’s 2017 (but with better pitching… maybe). The Dodgers, meanwhile, trot out Emmet Sheehan (2 IP, 10 H, 4 ER in his MLB debut) to face a team that’s averaged 12 runs per game this week. Meanwhile, Ryan Gusto (64.1 IP, 10 HRs allowed) gets the ball for Houston, which is like handing a toddler a flamethrower and asking him to play chess with the Yankees.

Prop Pick of the Night:
Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 Hits (-385). Because why not? Ohtani’s been hitting for the cycle in his sleep lately. The implied probability? 51% — which is basically the chance your fridge will explode if you leave it open too long. Take the Over.

Game Prediction:
OVER 9 Runs (-118). The Dodgers are a top-3 OVER team, and Gusto’s given up 10 HRs in 64 IP. This isn’t a game; it’s a fireworks show. The Dodgers’ lineup (led by Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts) will treat Gusto like a piñata.

Final Score: Houston 6, LA 4. But honestly, anything with more than 3 errors is a win for comedy.

Implied Probabilities:
- Astros ML: 37% (2.71)
- OVER 9: 54% (1.97) — Bet the UNDER if you like disappointment.

Verdict: Sit back, grab a cold one, and enjoy the Astros’ sweep — it’s 60% likely, according to the math. 🍻⚾

Created: July 6, 2025, 6:34 p.m. GMT