Prop Bets: Houston Rockets VS Toronto Raptors 2025-10-29
Houston Rockets vs. Toronto Raptors
Date: October 29, 2025 | Time: 6:30 PM ET | Location: Scotiabank Arena
Prediction: The Houston Rockets (-5.5) are a lock to dominate the depleted Raptors, who are missing Jakob Poeltl and playing with the defensive coordination of a group of sleep-deprived toddlers. The Rockets’ offense, led by Alperen Sengun (25.7 PPG) and Kevin Durant (25.5 PPG), should exploit Toronto’s porous interior defense. The Over 233.5 total is a no-brainer—Houston’s 114.3 PPG and Toronto’s 115.2 PPG suggest a high-scoring slugfest.
Key Stats:
- Alperen Sengun (HOU): Over 21.5 points (-125) – Sengun’s 25.7 PPG average makes this line a layup.
- Scottie Barnes (TOR): Over 17.5 points/rebounds (-110) – Barnes is a solid bet for 17.5 PPR.
- Kevin Durant (HOU): Over 25.5 points (-115) – Durant’s 26.6 PPG makes the Over a no-brainer.
Implied Probabilities:
- Houston to win: 60% (based on -150 moneyline).
- Over 233.5: 52.4% (implied by -110).
Why the Rockets Win:
- Houston’s offense (114.3 PPG) vs. Toronto’s 22nd-ranked defense.
- Sengun’s dominance in the paint vs. Toronto’s weak interior defense (21st in points allowed in the paint).
- The Raptors are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games, but that’s just a fluke.
Prop Pick: Alperen Sengun Over 21.5 points (-125). Sengun’s 25.7 PPG average makes this a no-brainer.
Final Score Prediction: Houston 120, Toronto 105.
Note: The Raptors’ defense is like a sieve. Don’t bet the under. 🏀🔥
Created: Oct. 29, 2025, 6:47 p.m. GMT