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WNBA Showdown: Aces Aim to Stymie Valkyries’ Offense (Again)—But Should You Bet on the Under?

The Las Vegas Aces (-150) and Golden State Valkyries (+400) are locked in a second consecutive game this Wednesday, and if you thought this rivalry was spicy last week, prepare for a defensive stew. The Aces, with their 70.5% implied probability to win (thanks to those -150 odds), are favored to continue their dominance. But here’s the twist: the Valkyries have scored fewer points than a sleep-deprived math teacher in three of their last six games since Kayla Thornton’s injury.

Key Stats to Know:
- The Valkyries have Under 76.5 points in 3/6 games post-Tornton.
- The Aces’ defense isn’t elite (they’re just “okay,” like your Aunt Karen at poker), but they held Golden State to 74 points in their last meeting.
- The combined scoring average for this matchup? 159.6 points. Yet the Aces’ own average (163.9 PPG) exceeds the total. Translation: Defense wins championships, but boredom wins this one.

The Best Bet?
Take the Valkyries Team Total UNDER 76.5 (-115). With Thornton out and the Aces’ defense playing like a sieve that’s been patched with duct tape, Golden State’s offense might as well be shooting free throws through a colander. The line is low, but the Valkyries have the look of a team that’s forgotten how to score.

Player Props?
None in the provided context. But if you had to invent one, bet against anyone named “Thornton” helping Golden State’s offense.

In conclusion: This game is shaping up to be a defensive snoozefest with a side of “why are we still playing basketball?” The Aces will likely win, but the Valkyries’ Under is the smarter play for those seeking a nap-inducing upset. Sleep well, bettors.

Created: Aug. 7, 2025, 7:12 a.m. GMT