Prop Bets: Indiana Fever VS Phoenix Mercury 2025-08-07
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever WNBA Preview: Revenge, Rivalry, and Alyssa Thomas’ Triple-Double Ambitions
Date: August 8, 2025 | Time: 2:00 AM ET | Location: Phoenix, AZ
The Setup:
The Phoenix Mercury, fresh off a historic Alyssa Thomas triple-double (13 points, 12 rebounds, 12 assists) in a win over the Sun, aim to avenge their 107-101 loss to the Indiana Fever from eight days ago. The Fever, however, are without star guard Caitlin Clark (right groin, out indefinitely), creating a golden opportunity for Phoenix’s “Big Three” of Thomas, Satou Sabally (17.5 PPG), and Kahleah Copper (45.5% 3PT) to dominate.
Key Stats & Odds:
- Moneyline: Phoenix Mercury (-150) vs. Indiana Fever (+250) [implied probabilities: 60% vs. 29%]
- Spread: Mercury -4.5 (-110) / Fever +4.5 (-110)
- Total: 172.5 (Evens)
Player Props to Watch:
1. Alyssa Thomas – Assists Over 8.5 (-140): After dishing 9.1 assists per game this season, Thomas is a -140 favorite to eclipse 8.5 assists. Her +440 triple-double prop? A 18.2% shot to join the “A.T. Triple-Double Club” again.
2. Aari McDonald – Points Over 10.5 (-115): The Fever’s McDonald torched Phoenix for 27 points in their last meeting. Can she repeat the magic? The Over is -115, implying bookmakers expect her to score like it’s 2024.
3. First Basket: Satou Sabally (-210) and Thomas (-210) lead the board. Sabally’s 17.5 PPG makes her a -210 favorite to open the scoring.
The Verdict:
Phoenix is a -150 favorite to exact revenge, but don’t sleep on Indiana’s firepower without Clark. The Mercury’s Big Three are a statistical anomaly: Sabally’s 17.5 PPG, Copper’s 45.5% 3PT, and Thomas’ 8.6 RPG + 9.1 APG form a trifecta that’s 60% likely to win.
Prop Pick of the Night:
Alyssa Thomas – Assists Over 8.5 (-140). She’s already a triple-double threat; 8.5 assists? That’s just her warm-up act.
Final Prediction:
Phoenix 89, Indiana 82. The Mercury’s Big Three flex their muscles, Thomas dishes 10+ assists, and Sabally’s “legendary” playmaking (per teammate Satou) silences the Fever.
“A.T. is just legendary. She keeps your brain on. She will make the right play.” – Satou Sabally, probably while sipping a postgame smoothie.
Bet Responsibly. And maybe check if Indiana’s bench can actually shoot.
Created: Aug. 7, 2025, 3:11 a.m. GMT