Prop Bets: Indiana Pacers VS Detroit Pistons 2025-11-17
The NBA’s Most Embarrassing Underdog Story Gets a Shot at Redemption (Probably Not)
The Indiana Pacers, a team that’s lost seven straight and 12 of 13, are about to take on the 11-2 Detroit Pistons, who’ve been playing like they’ve got a net rating of +6.1 and a death wish. The Pistons are favored by 10.5 points (-520 on the moneyline), which means bookmakers think the Pacers’ chances of winning are roughly equivalent to you nailing a half-court shot blindfolded. But hey, underdogs live for these moments, right?
The Math:
- Pistons’ implied probability of winning: 84% (because they’re basically robots).
- Pacers’ implied probability of winning: 16% (because they’re a team that’s gone 1-12).
- Total set at 231.5 points—a number so high it makes the Pacers’ offense blush.
Why the Pacers Might Shock Us:
The Pacers are starting Andrew Nembhard and T.J. McConnell at point guard, which is either a masterstroke or a cry for help. Detroit’s Cade Cunningham is questionable (28.8% 3PT shooter), and the Pacers’ defense allows the 6th-fewest 3PT% in the league. So maybe, just maybe, they’ll force Cunningham into a Cade Cunningham UNDER 2.5 three-pointers made (-190) prop bet. Let’s take that line—Cunningham’s a shooter, but even he can’t will a 28.8% stroke rate into relevance.
Other Props to Watch:
- Jalen Duren OVER 19.5 points (-105): The Pistons’ big man is averaging 19.5 PPG; let’s see if he can hit the number exactly.
- Duncan Robinson OVER 13.5 points (-115): The Pacers’ sharpshooter needs a hot night to keep this game from being a laugher.
The Verdict:
The Pistons are a well-oiled machine, but the Pacers? They’re a car with one working wheel and a GPS that says “turn left at the dinosaur.” Still, if you’re feeling spicy, take Pacers +10.5 (-105) just to rub salt in the wound of their seven-game skid. And if you really want to suffer, bet on Cade Cunningham UNDER 2.5 threes (-190)—because nothing says “I trust this team” like betting against their star’s worst trait.
Final Score Prediction: Detroit 122, Indiana 107—unless the Pacers’ bench decides to quit mid-game. (They’ve been known to.) 🏀🔥
Created: Nov. 17, 2025, 6:44 p.m. GMT