Prop Bets: Indianapolis Colts VS Pittsburgh Steelers 2025-11-02

Colts vs. Steelers: A Comedy of Errors (With Yards)

The Indianapolis Colts (-3.5, implied probability: ~54.5%) roll into Pittsburgh like a cheeseburger to a diet—unapologetically bold and ready to gloat. The Steelers, meanwhile, are the dietary guidelines, squirming in their seat. Let’s break this down with the precision of a QB rating:

Key Stats & Odds
- Jonathan Taylor’s Rushing Yards Prop: The Colts’ star is a cash machine at -114 to exceed 93.5 yards. Why? Because the Steelers rank 27th in run defense DVOA, and Taylor’s 106.3 YPG this season isn’t just a number—it’s a threat. His 6.7 YPC to the left? A personal invitation to the end zone.
- DK Metcalf’s Deep Threat: At +200 to score a TD, Metcalf’s five touchdowns in six games are a direct result of the Colts’ secondary being a sieve. They’ve allowed 28+ 20+ yard passes this season—tied for second-worst. Metcalf’s 26+ yard receptions? Not a prop bet, it’s a certainty.
- Total Points Over/Under: The Over (50.5, implied probability: ~52%) is a no-brainer. The Colts have hit the Over in 14 of their last 20 games, while the Steelers’ defense looks like a leaky faucet. Combine Taylor’s ground game (136.9 YPG team rush) with the Colts’ porous pass defense? It’s a recipe for 51 points, not a dinner party.

Dark Horses & Jokers
- Daniel Jones’ TD Prop: At +340 to score a rushing TD, the Giants’ QB is the sportsbook’s way of saying, “Bet on chaos.” Jones has four rushing TDs this season, but against Pittsburgh’s 17th-ranked run defense? It’s not a bet—it’s a tribute to randomness.
- Tyler Warren’s Receiving Yards: At +340 to hit 55.5 yards, this prop is as likely as your ex calling to say “hi.” The Steelers’ secondary isn’t exactly the NFL’s brightest bulb, but Warren’s 33.2 YPG? More of a flicker than a flame.

Final Verdict
The Colts should win this like a vegan at a steakhouse—confidently, with zero guilt. Taylor will grind the Steelers’ defense into dust, Metcalf will turn the deep ball into a highlight reel, and the total points will spike like a soda can left in a hot car.

Parlay Pick (Because Why Not?)
- Taylor Over 93.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
- Metcalf to Score a TD (+200)
- Over 50.5 Total Points (-110)

Implied return: ~6.5x your bet. Implied sarcasm: 100%.

Weather? Sunny. Steelers’ chances? Cloudy. Bet accordingly, or risk looking as lost as Pittsburgh’s defense in a maze. 🏈

Created: Nov. 2, 2025, 5 a.m. GMT

Prop Bets: Indianapolis Colts VS Pittsburgh Steelers 2025-11-02

Final Verdict The Colts should win this like a vegan at a steakhouse—confidently, with zero guilt. Taylor will grind the Steelers’ defense into dust, Metcalf will turn the deep ball into a highlight reel, and the total points will spike like a soda can left in a hot car.

Final Verdict
The Colts should win this like a vegan at a steakhouse—confidently, with zero guilt. Taylor will grind the Steelers’ defense into dust, Metcalf will turn the deep ball into a highlight reel, and the total points will spike like a soda can left in a hot car.