Prop Bets: Inter Miami CF VS CF Montreal 2025-07-05
CF Montreal vs. Inter Miami: A Messi-mera of Sorrow (for Montreal)
Prediction: Inter Miami 3-0 CF Montreal
Implied Probability of Inter Miami Win: ~52% (based on -150 odds)
Why Trust Me? Because Montreal’s lineup is a "Where’s Waldo?" for fans of actual soccer stars. They’re missing Nathan Saliba (sold to Anderlecht, like a player version of a transfer fee ghost) and rely on the return of Giacomo Vrioni, who’s basically Montreal’s answer to “meh, maybe a goal today.” Meanwhile, Inter Miami is rolling out their FC Barcelona All-Stars squad: Messi, Suárez, Busquets, and Jordi Alba. It’s like Moneyball if the characters just… copied a roster from Europe.
Key Stats to Know:
- Montreal’s record: 3 wins all season. Their last victory? A 1-0 nail-biter against NYCFC. Congrats, they’re now 3-0 in “games where they don’t concede.”
- Inter Miami’s record: 7 goals in their last two meetings vs. Montreal. Their FIFA Club World Cup? A 4-0 loss to PSG. “Oh no, they’re human after all!” said no one.
- Odds to Win: Inter Miami is the pick at -150 (Bovada), while Montreal’s long shot odds of +350 would make a gambler weep.
Spreads & Totals:
- Spread: Inter Miami -0.5 (-110). Take the Herons (+0.5) if you’re feeling suicidal.
- Total Goals: Over/Under 3.0. Take the Under (if you believe in Messi’s “clinical efficiency” or are just terrified of Montreal’s attack).
Player Props Worth Your Hard-Earned Cash:
1. Lionel Messi to score anytime: -115 (Bovada). He’s not just a player; he’s a certainty. Implied probability? ~53.7%.
2. Luis Suárez to score: +150 (DraftKings). The “I’m still here, remember me?” special.
3. Sergio Busquets to score: +1500. If the 38-year-old midfield maestro somehow finds the net, call the Vatican—it’s a miracle.
4. Leonardo Frugis Afonso to score first: +650. A name only a mother could love, but hey, long shots are fun.
Why Montreal Might Win:
- If Messi gets injured juggling a water bottle during warmups.
- If CF Montreal’s “mystery lineup” (including “Canadian international center back Joel Waterman”) suddenly becomes a real defense. Spoiler: It won’t.
Final Verdict: Inter Miami’s Messi and Suárez will turn Saputo Stadium into a personal playground. Montreal’s best bet? Hope for a lightning strike from Kwadwo Opoku (+255 to score). But really, just take the Inter Miami money and chalk this one up to experience.
Bonus Prediction: The first goal will be scored by… drumroll… Leonardo Frugis Afonso (+650). Bet big. Or don’t. Your call.
Created: July 5, 2025, 7:39 a.m. GMT