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Prop Bets: Iowa State Cyclones VS Cincinnati Bearcats 2025-10-04

Humorous Prediction: Iowa State vs. Cincinnati – A Sack-Fest or a Sack-Disaster?

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a clash of titans where Iowa State’s undefeated streak meets Cincinnati’s “we’re-not-losing-to-you-again” swagger. Let’s break it down with the precision of a QB who doesn’t throw picks (unlike some unnamed Bearcat signal-callers… cough, Brendan Sorsby’s 1 interception this season? Wait, no—he’s actually clean! Whoops, never mind).

Key Stats & Odds
- Moneyline: Iowa State (-105) vs. Cincinnati (-115). The Cyclones are the slight favorite, but only if you ignore their missing kicker (Kyle Konrardy’s leg injury—good luck nailing field goals, Carson Hansen!).
- Spread: Iowa State +1.5 (-110) / Cincinnati -1.5 (-110). The Bearcats are favored by a touchdown, but let’s remember: Iowa State’s defense has 8 sacks this season. Cincinnati’s offensive line? Just 1 sack allowed. Math time: 8 sacks vs. 1 sack allowed = a potential Bearcat BBQ for the Cyclones’ pass rush.
- Over/Under: 55.5 points (-110). Expert pick: Over. Why? Because Sorsby (388 yards, 6 TDs in last two games) and Becht (243 yards, 3 TDs last week) are here to throw, run, and probably score on you.

Player Props to Watch
- Rocco Becht (Iowa State QB): Will he replicate his 3-TD rushing performance from Week 5? The Bearcats’ secondary is missing two starters (Jeremiah Cooper and Jontez Williams—out for the season). Bet on Becht to dance through gaps like a man with a map to the end zone.
- Brendan Sorsby (Cincinnati QB): Can he avoid the sack? His last two games: 388 yards, 6 TDs, zero sacks. But Iowa State’s defense is hungry for a statement game. Will Sorsby survive? Only if the Cyclones’ linebackers forget how to count to 8.
- Tawee Walker (Cincinnati RB): He’s got 2 rushing TDs in a row. Can he keep it going? Iowa State’s defense is 0-4 in stopping opponents’ RBs this season. Walker’s chances: 87% (if the Cyclones’ tackling technique involves more than “hope”).

The Verdict
Iowa State’s undefeated record is a fragile glass trophy in a room full of toddlers. Cincinnati, meanwhile, is a team that lost to Nebraska but then defeated Kansas in OT. This game is a coin flip with a 78°F breeze and a 1% chance of rain—perfect weather for a shootout.

Final Score Prediction: Iowa State 31, Cincinnati 27.
Why? Because the Cyclones’ defense will feast on Sorsby, but their offense will score enough points to cover the +1.5 spread. And let’s be real: Cincinnati’s red-and-black “last worn in 2021” throwback jerseys are cursed.

Bet Smart, Not Hard: Take the Over 55.5. These two offenses will light up the scoreboard like a Christmas tree in July. And if you’re feeling spicy, throw in a prop bet on Rocco Becht to rush for a TD. He’s basically a one-man wrecking crew with a 33.3% implied probability of scoring.

Now go forth and gamble like you’re Scott Satterfield trying to convince us Dontay Corleone is 100% healthy. Spoiler: He’s not. 🏈

Created: Oct. 4, 2025, 4:02 p.m. GMT