Prop Bets: Isaac Thomson VS Joanderson Brito 2025-12-13
Prediction: Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape – The "Who’s the Favorite?" Show
Let’s cut to the chase: Manel Kape is being treated like a Las Vegas magician, with odds fluctuating between -295 (per Yahoo Sports) and -330 (per the New York Post), depending on whether the oddsmakers had coffee that morning. Meanwhile, Brandon Royval is the underdog with the “I’ll take your money and your doubts” +220 to +250 line. The MMA Junkie staff? Nine out of 11 picked Kape, which is about as surprising as a churro at a donut shop.
The Stats:
- Kape’s resume: 6 of his last 7 wins via stoppage. He’s a counter-striker with a takedown defense rating that makes a vault look vulnerable.
- Royval’s edge: Aggressive, forward pressure with a “I’ll wear you down before I’ll let you breathe” style. His last loss? A split decision to Joshua Van—hardly a disgrace.
The Betting Herd: 63% of readers back Kape, presumably because they’ve never heard of a “sucker bet.” But here’s a hot take: Royval’s busyness could be Kape’s worst nightmare. As one analyst quipped, “If Kape gets caught in Royval’s crosshairs, it’ll be like a spider trying to outrun a tornado.”
Player Props?
None for the main event, but if you must gamble, the New York Post suggests:
- Giga Chikadze (-155) to avoid getting taken down in his featherweight scrap with Kevin Vallejos.
- Kennedy Nzechukwu (+300) to make it to round 5 against Marcus Buchecha.
Final Verdict:
Kape’s implied probability of winning? A bloated 75% (-295). Royval’s? A paltry 31% (+220). But remember: underdogs win when favorites stop listening to their own hype.
Prediction: Kape takes this by split decision, but not before Royval’s fans start a petition to rename the fight “The Great Comeback That Never Happened.” Stick with Kape, but if you’re feeling spicy, Royval +250 is a “sucker’s bet” that might sting.
And if the odds keep changing, maybe the UFC should just have a coin flip. At least that’s 50/50. 🥁
Created: Dec. 13, 2025, 9:33 p.m. GMT