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Prop Bets: Islam Makhachev VS Jack Della Maddalena 2025-11-16

UFC 322: Islam Makhachev vs. Jack Della Maddalena – A Clash of Clowns (with Grit)

Ladies and gentlemen, prepare for a welterweight war that’s equal parts technical masterpiece and existential crisis for anyone who bets on “Under 3.5 Rounds.” The odds? Let’s break them down like a Russian nesting doll of confidence:

• Islam Makhachev (-400 implied probability): The 28-fight veteran with a 27-1 record is the favorite, per decimal odds as low as 1.31 (Caesars). That’s a 76.3% implied chance to win, which is about the same odds as me believing you’ll actually retire from sports betting. His secret weapon? A grappling game so elite, it makes a sumo wrestler’s bear hug look like a toddler’s naptime.
  - Jack Della Maddalena (+308 implied probability): The 18-2 Aussie underdog sports odds as high as 3.45 (DraftKings), translating to a 23.1% chance. That’s roughly the probability of surviving a Netflix password-sharing scheme. But hey, Della’s got that “I’ll-punch-you-in-the-liver-while-avoiding-your-wrestling” magic, and his takedown defense is tighter than a fan’s grip on a half-empty beer can.

The Spread: Makhachev is -5.5 (-5.5? Like, “I’ll dominate you by half a human”?), while Della’s +5.5 is for those who fancy a Hail Mary.

Totals: The Over/Under is 3.5 rounds. Bet Over (1.77 odds) if you enjoy watching fighters trade jabs like they’re in a chess match. Take the Under (2.10 odds) if you’ve ever seen a UFC event and thought, “Yeah, this’ll end before the fourth round.”

Player Props to Bet Against:
- “Will Makhachev secure a takedown?” — Only if you’re paying him to hug you.
- “Will Della land a body shot so vicious it goes viral?” — 100% yes, but good luck cashing that bet before the fight ends.

Prediction: This fight is a 55-45 Makhachev decision, per the stats, but your grandpa’s bracket will pick Della. Why? Because Makhachev’s move up two weight classes is like asking a vegan to eat a steak—theoretically possible, but why? Della’s got the power to end this, but Makhachev’s ground game is a straitjacket for even the rowdiest welterweights.

Final Verdict: If you bet on Makhachev, you’re a genius. If you bet on Della, you’re a masochist. Either way, the UFC just sold out of “Historic Upset” T-shirts.

Place your bets, but don’t bet your grandma’s dentures. 🥊

Created: Nov. 15, 2025, 10:46 p.m. GMT