Prop Bets: Jacksonville Jaguars VS Cincinnati Bengals 2025-09-14

Bengals vs. Jaguars: A Tale of Two Burrow-ers (Week 2 Prediction)

The Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5, implied probability: ~76.6% via decimal odds of 1.91) are favored to avoid the Jacksonville Jaguars’ “Week 1 Luck” — you know, the kind where you beat a team that coughs up 31.4 PPG like it’s a bad takeout order. The Jaguars, fresh off their 16-point Week 1 romp over the Panthers (a team that now looks like the NFL’s version of a practice squad), will learn a harsh lesson: beating a sieve doesn’t make you a net.

Key Stats to Know:
- Bengals’ Home Prowess: Cincinnati averages 28.9 PPG at home, a stat that should make Jaguars fans reach for their Xanax.
- Jags’ Defense? They’ll face a Joe Burrow who’s 14-2 in his career when throwing at least 300 yards. Spoiler: This game won’t be “14-2.”
- Spread Shenanigans: The line is -3.5 for the Bengals, which feels like the NFL’s way of saying, “Yeah, we think Cincy’s better, but also, please don’t bet everything.”

Player Props to Watch (Thanks, DraftKings):
- Joe Burrow Over/Under 275.5 Yards: Take the over. Burrow’s Week 1 stat line? 298 yards. He’s not exactly hiding his playbook.
- Jaguars’ Total Touchdowns Under 2.5: Jacksonville’s offense scored just 10 points in Week 1. Let’s call it “conservative” and run.

Implied Probabilities (Because Math > Feelings):
- Bengals ML (-225): 70% implied chance to win.
- Jaguars (+200): 33.3% implied chance. (Translation: If you’re betting on Trevor Lawrence, you’re either a masochist or a fan of “long shots and longer faces.”)

Final Prediction:
The Bengals will win 28-21, covering the spread by virtue of forcing two Jaguars turnovers (hello, Week 1 interception specialists). Total points? Bet the Over 49.5 — Burrow and Co. won’t hold back, and Jacksonville’s defense will look like a sieve trying to hold a dam.

Remember: Betting is like a blind date with statistics. Stay hydrated, and don’t bet more than you’re willing to lose. Or, y’know, bet like a degenerate. Your call. 🏈

Created: Sept. 12, 2025, 9:51 p.m. GMT