Prop Bets: Kansas City Chiefs VS Dallas Cowboys 2025-11-27

Turkey Day Showdown: Chiefs vs. Cowboys – A Feast for the Eyes (and Bets)

The Kansas City Chiefs (-3.0 to -3.5, implied probability: ~52.5-55%) strut into Dallas like a Thanksgiving turkey that’s definitely not the main course. The Cowboys (implied probability: ~39-40%), meanwhile, cling to their “we’re still relevant” narrative with the tenacity of a postgame buffet line.

Key Props to Feast On:
1. Dak Prescott Over 9.5 Rushing Yards (-110):
Dak’s legs aren’t Lamar Jackson’s, but with the Chiefs blitzing like they’re trying to break the sound barrier (and allowing 104 rushing yards to QBs this season), this prop is a long shot—but hey, if you’ve got a 1% chance to see Dak break a 10-yarder, it’s worth the -110.

Travis Kelce Under 60.5 Receiving Yards (-110):
Kelce’s aDoT (6.5) is lower than a toddler’s patience during a sermon on quantum physics. The Cowboys have stifled TEs like it’s their full-time job, holding five to under 60 yards. Bet on Kelce’s “meh” game—it’s as certain as your Aunt Karen’s pumpkin pie.

CeeDee Lamb Over 74.5 Receiving Yards (-110):
Lamb’s averaged 82 yards per game since returning from injury, and the Chiefs’ defense? Well, they’ve allowed 290+ yards to WRs in back-to-back weeks. This is the prop equivalent of a free throw—just drop it in and tip your hat.

Game Prediction:
The Chiefs’ offense will sizzle like a deep-fried turkey (i.e., dangerously). Patrick Mahomes’ arm is still a golden goose, but the Cowboys’ defense has the stuffing to clog Kansas City’s rhythm. Yet, with the Chiefs favored by 3.0-3.5 points and the total set at a bloated 52.0-52.5 (even odds), expect a fourth-quarter shootout where both teams trade touchdowns like Black Friday deals.

Final Verdict:
Take the Chiefs (-3.5) if you trust Mahomes to outplay Dak in a shootout, but don’t be surprised if the Cowboys’ “clutch” comeback (see: Week 12’s 21-point rally) spices up your Thanksgiving. And if Dak somehow racks up 10 rushing yards? Congratulate him, then question his life choices.

Place your bets, then pass the gravy. 🦃🏈

Created: Nov. 26, 2025, 8:28 a.m. GMT