Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals VS Philadelphia Phillies 2025-09-13

Phillies vs. Royals: A Tale of Two Sluggers (and One Very Tired Pitcher)
September 13, 2025 | 8:05 PM ET | Citizens Bank Park

The Philadelphia Phillies (-147) are set to host the Kansas City Royals (+123) in what promises to be a "home run derby"… for the Phillies. While the Royals’ offense ranks 28th in MLB runs (3.8/game), the Phils’ .260 team batting average and 9th-ranked offense should have fans salivating. Let’s break it down with the precision of a scout’s clipboard and the humor of a ballpark hot dog vendor.

Why the Phillies Should Win
- Moneyline Magic: The Phillies are 74-45 when favored this season, including 51-24 at -147 or better. Implied probability? 60% to win. The Royals? They’re 38-45 as underdogs, or 45.8%.
- Pitching Matchup: Taijuan Walker (3.79 ERA, 9.3 K/9) faces a Royals lineup that’s hit just 16 HRs in their last 10 games. Ryan Bergert (4.12 ERA) will face a Phils lineup that’s slugging .462 at home.
- Over/Under: The total is set at 9.5 runs. The Phils have gone OVER 62/147 times this year (42%), while the Royals are 61/147. Bet the OVER if you enjoy chaos.

Player Props to Bet
- Maikel Garcia HR Over 0.5 (-500): The Royals’ slugging third baseman has 16 HRs this year. At +500 odds, it’s a no-brainer.
- Kyle Schwarber 1.5 Hits Over +155: The Phillie’s cleanup man is hitting .285 with 25 HRs.
- Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 Hits Over +140: The Royals’ star shortstop is batting .295, but Philly’s pitching staff gives him a fighting chance.

Why the Royals Might Survive
- Ryan Bergert’s ERA: It’s 4.12, but he’s allowed just 3 HRs in 10 starts. If he can limit damage, KC’s 1-2-3 hitters (Bobby Witt Jr., Maikel Garcia, Vinnie Pasquantino) could scratch out runs.
- Phillies’ Bullpen: Philly’s relievers have a 4.50 ERA in September. Trust a manager to blow a lead? Good luck.

Final Verdict
The Phillies are a -147 favorite for a reason. Their offense should outslug KC’s, and Walker’s 9.3 K/9 will keep the Royals’ bats quiet. But if you must take the under, bet on Maikel Garcia to hit a HR (+500) and pray for a Royals rally.

Prediction: Phillies 6, Royals 3. And yes, that’s with Kyle Schwarber hitting a moonshot in the 7th. 🏆

“Every time I see a Royals lineup, I think, ‘These guys must’ve lost a bet.’” — A Fan in the 7th Row

Created: Sept. 13, 2025, 5:32 p.m. GMT

Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals VS Philadelphia Phillies 2025-09-13

Final Verdict The Phillies are a -147 favorite for a reason. Their offense should outslug KC’s, and Walker’s 9.3 K/9 will keep the Royals’ bats quiet. But if you must take the under, bet on Maikel Garcia to hit a HR (+500) and pray for a Royals rally.

Final Verdict
The Phillies are a -147 favorite for a reason. Their offense should outslug KC’s, and Walker’s 9.3 K/9 will keep the Royals’ bats quiet. But if you must take the under, bet on Maikel Garcia to hit a HR (+500) and pray for a Royals rally.