Prop Bets: Las Vegas Aces VS Connecticut Sun 2025-07-06
WNBA Prediction: Las Vegas Aces vs. Connecticut Sun – July 6, 2025
The Aces Are (Literally) Carrying the Sun
The Las Vegas Aces, favored at -103 (implied probability: ~95.2%), are about to make the Connecticut Sun’s nine-game losing streak feel like a 10-game punch to the gut. Despite fielding just 10 healthy players (including a questionable Tina Charles), the Aces have won both prior meetings this season by 25+ points. The Sun? They’re currently missing their leading scorer (Marina Mabrey), a rookie guard (Jaelyn Brown), and might not even get their 32-year-old center Tina Charles (shoulder). It’s like showing up to a cookout with just a saltshaker and a half-baked idea for a recipe.
Key Player Props to Bet on (and Why They’re Hilariously One-Sided):
- A’ja Wilson Over 23.5 Points (-105): The Aces’ lone double-digit scorer in their last loss (81-54 to the Fever) is back from a shoulder injury and ready to drop 24 on the Sun’s paper-thin defense. The line’s at 23.5—basically giving you a freebie to bet on her.
- Jackie Young Over 15.5 Points (-122): Young’s been quiet recently, but with the Sun’s perimeter defense resembling a sieve, she’s got a 15.5-point ceiling that’s as easy to clear as a toddler’s nap schedule.
- Tina Charles Double-Double (-160): The Sun’s veteran center is questionable, but if she plays, bet on her grinding out a double-double just to keep her stats relevant.
Injury Montage Special:
The Aces are down to 10 players, including a doubtful Megan Gustafson, while the Sun are missing their second-leading scorer (Mabrey) and a rookie who probably forgot her own role in this game. Becky Hammon’s squad called this matchup “the worst offensive night ever” after a 54-point loss—so imagine their joy facing a Sun team that’s lost nine straight.
Final Prediction:
The Aces win by double digits, likely covering the -17.5 spread as they exploit the Sun’s injury-riddled roster. For props, take A’ja Wilson Over 23.5 points and Jackie Young Over 15.5 points—because why not? The Sun’s defense is about as effective as a screen door in a hurricane.
Bonus Prop Bet (for the SADISTIC among us):
- Connecticut Sun to Score Under 65 Points (-110): Because why wouldn’t they? Their last game was a 63-point stinker against the Lynx. Go ahead, take the under.
In conclusion: The Aces are the sunshine in this matchup, and the Sun? They’re just here for the group photo. 🏀🌞
Created: July 6, 2025, 8:03 a.m. GMT