Prop Bets: Las Vegas Aces VS Indiana Fever 2025-07-03
WNBA Showdown: Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever – A Tale of Two Rebounds (and One Very Opinionated MVP)
The Setup:
The Las Vegas Aces (-4.5, implied probability: ~60%) roll into Indianapolis like they own the place, fresh off an 84-81 win. The Indiana Fever (+3.5, 2.64 odds) are the underdogs, but don’t count them out—Caitlin Clark’s on the mend (literally), and Kelsey Mitchell just averaged 20+ points in her last four games. Both teams are 8-8, so let’s call this the “.500 Showdown” (because neither wants to be below it).
Key Stats to Know:
- A’ja Wilson (Aces): The reigning MVP is a -113 favorite to outscore 22.5 points. She’s basically a 23-point guarantee in a skirt.
- Aliyah Boston (Fever): The rookie rebound queen? Not tonight. Props have her under 8.5 rebounds (-108), which is like telling a toddler to stop eating snacks.
- Kelsey Mitchell (Fever): She’s a -135 machine to eclipse 18.5 points. If she hits that, consider it a victory for the underdog spirit.
The Spread:
The Aces are -4.5 (-110) at most books, which is sportsbook code for “we think they’ll win, but not too embarrassingly.” The total is 163.5, so expect a nail-biter where both teams shoot like they’re in a 3-point contest.
Prop Bets to Steal (or Avoid):
- Will A’ja Wilson get a double-double? (-115). Spoiler: Yes, but she’s basically doing it in her sleep.
- Can Jackie Young dish 4.5 assists? The under (-125) is a safe bet unless she’s having a “MVP” day.
- First basket of the game? Bet against Aliyah Boston (1800 odds). She’s more likely to invent a time machine and replay the last game.
Prediction:
The Aces will win, but not without drama. A’ja Wilson will drop 25+ points and 12 rebounds, while Kelsey Mitchell keeps the Fever alive with a 20-point performance. Indiana’s rebounding struggles (see: Aliyah Boston) will cost them, but don’t be surprised if the final score is closer than a TikTok algorithm.
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas Aces 88, Indiana Fever 82.
Why Trust Me? I didn’t. I checked the odds. 🏀✨
Created: July 3, 2025, 6:38 p.m. GMT