Prop Bets: Las Vegas Aces VS Washington Mystics 2025-07-10
WNBA Showdown: Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics – July 10, 2025
Prediction: A’ja Wilson’s Absence = Mystics’ Time to Shine
The Las Vegas Aces, minus their MVP anchor A’ja Wilson (wrist injury), are about to learn what it feels like to be truly Vegas—as in, "what are the odds this team wins?" The Washington Mystics, meanwhile, are here to rewrite those odds with their "unlikely" trio of Brittney Sykes, Sonia Citron, and Kiki Iriafen, who’ve been dropping highlight-reel dunks in the third quarter (okay, maybe not dunks… but their stats sure are).
The Numbers That Make Me Smirk:
- Moneyline: Washington is a -115 favorite (implied probability: 52.4%) vs. Las Vegas at +115 (47.6%). The Aces’ recent "meh" form (-2.5 spread) and Wilson’s absence make this a one-way street.
- Total Points: The OVER 157.5 is -110. With Mystics’ Sykes (15.5 P/prop) and Aces’ Jackie Young (17.5 P/prop) in the mix, this game could be a numbers carnival.
- Player Props to Punt On:
- Jackie Young OVER 17.5 points (-115): Young’s been the Aces’ emotional leader since Wilson’s injury. If she doesn’t drop 20, the team might start chanting "Where’s A’ja?!" during timeouts.
- Kiki Iriafen UNDER 11.5 points (-122): Iriafen’s been a scoring fiesta lately, but the Aces’ defense (or lack thereof) might keep her in check.
Why Washington Wins (And Why You Should Bet Them):
The Mystics are the WNBA’s version of a "Cinderella story"—except their glass slipper fits perfectly. Sykes (15.5 P/prop) and Citron (13.5 P/prop) have been dropping points like confetti, while Iriafen’s 7.5 rebound prop? Under? Please. She’s a rebounding machine with a side of "I don’t care if you’re the Aces."
The Aces’ Path to (Potential) Glory:
Jackie Young will need to channel her inner "I’ve got this, A’ja’s in the training room" energy. If she hits 17.5 points and the Mystics’ bench goes cold, maybe, maybe the Aces pull off an upset. But let’s be real: Without Wilson, this is a "we’ll try again tomorrow" kind of loss.
Final Verdict:
Washington Mystics to Win by 5 (157.5 OVER). And if Jackie Young hits her 17.5 points? Consider it a moral victory for Las Vegas.
Prop Bets to Note:
- Young OVER 17.5 (-115): If she doesn’t, the Aces’ offense might as well pack up and go home.
- Iriafen UNDER 11.5 (-122): A rare "safe" play, but only if the Mystics’ coaching staff decides to bench her for the final quarter.
Final Thought: This game is less of a matchup and more of a "Washington’s Rising Star vs. Las Vegas’ 'Wish We Had A’ja’." The Mystics are the pick, unless the Aces start shooting threes from half-court. Then? Anything’s possible. 🏀✨
Created: July 10, 2025, 11:05 a.m. GMT