Prop Bets: Leylah Fernandez VS Elsa Jacquemot 2025-08-27
Leylah Fernandez vs. Elsa Jacquemot: A Grand Slam of Absurdity
Leylah Fernandez, the 2021 US Open runner-up and proud partner of Venus Williams in doubles, enters this match with the resume of a seasoned veteran: six hard-court titles, a 23-20 record in 2023, and the uncanny ability to lose to players named Rebecca (twice). Meanwhile, Elsa Jacquemot, the 43-26 ITF warrior, has clawed her way to a 6-3 first-round win over Marie Bouzkova, proving that French players can spell their own names under pressure.
The Odds Say…
- H2H Implied Probabilities: Fernandez is the 89% favorite (odds: 1.25-1.29 decimal), while Jacquemot’s 25% chance (odds: 3.5-4.0) feels like the sportsbooks are handing her a participation trophy.
- Spreads: Fernandez is -4.5 games favorite at 1.8-1.87 odds. Translation: Bookmakers expect this to be a rout, but not so rout-ish that bettors should quit their jobs.
- Totals: The over/under is 20.5-21.0 games. If you’re betting on "Over," you’re betting Jacquemot will dig a hole deep enough to hide in. If you’re betting "Under," you’re a masochist who enjoys watching Leylah’s serve like it’s a Netflix documentary.
Player Props?
- Leylah Fernandez’s Serve Speed: Not listed, but let’s assume it’s fast enough to make Jacquemot question her life choices.
- Elsa Jacquemot’s First Set Win: A long shot, but if she pulls it off, the sportsbooks will probably rename their "Long Shot" market after her.
Prediction
This will be a masterclass in contrast: Fernandez’s precision vs. Jacquemot’s grit. While the odds favor a Fernandez cruise (6-2, 6-3), Jacquemot’s 4.5-game spread "respect" suggests bookmakers aren’t entirely asleep at the wheel. But let’s be real: Leylah’s US Open pedigree (and her doubles partnership with a legend who could bench-press a tennis ball) makes this a formality.
Final Verdict
Pick: Leylah Fernandez -4.5 (-110). She’ll win in straight sets, and Jacquemot will go down fighting—probably with a racquet in one hand and a “What did I do wrong?” essay in the other.
Note: If you bet on Jacquemot, at least you’ll have a story. “Yeah, I picked the underdog. She lost, but… she almost won a point once!” 🎾
Created: Aug. 27, 2025, 11:45 p.m. GMT