Prop Bets: LG Twins VS Kia Tigers 2025-07-24
Twins vs. Dodgers: A Popcorn Game of HRs and Math Problems
The Minnesota Twins (+184) are the underdogs in this interleague spectacle against the Los Angeles Dodgers (-220), which means the odds suggest you’d need a calculator, a dictionary, and a therapist to understand why anyone would bet on them. But hey, underdogs love a good underdog story—especially when Byron Buxton is in the lineup. The Twins’ 35.1% implied win probability (thanks to those +184 odds) is about the same chance I have of explaining crypto to my grandma without her asking if it’s “just digital Monopoly.”
The Dodgers, meanwhile, are favored to lose (-220), implying a 68.8% chance of victory. That’s statistically likely, but let’s be real: Shohei Ohtani’s “two-way” magic and Mookie Betts’ “I-don’t-care-if-I’m-30-let-me-still-rip-a-double” energy might make this a closer call than your ex’s text about “us.”
Total Runs: 9 (Over -105 / Under -115)
With Ohtani and Buxton both favored to go deep, this game smells like a popcorn movie—high-octane, slightly buttery, and likely to blow the over. The 9-run total feels like a polite suggestion. Take the over unless you’re allergic to offense.
Player Props to Watch
- Shohei Ohtani HR: The Dodger Stadium HR machine is priced like a luxury car, but his 33.3% implied odds (based on +200-like props, though exact numbers aren’t listed here) make sense. He’s Ohtani, baby.
- Byron Buxton HR: The Twins’ center fielder is a 25% prop bet (approximated from context), which feels low for a man who can hit a ball 450 feet before you finish your first inning beer.
Final Verdict
This game is a statistical minefield. The Twins’ 35% chance feels like a setup for heartbreak, but Buxton vs. Ohtani is a prop lover’s dream. If you’re betting, take the over and the Dodgers, then buy Buxton to go deep. If you’re just here for the show, bring a towel—you’ll need to wipe the “Oh my god, did that actually happen?” sweat off your face.
And remember: Responsible betting means never betting on your therapist’s favorite team. Or your ex. Or yourself. 🎲⚾
Created: July 24, 2025, 5:25 a.m. GMT