Prop Bets: Liam Draxl VS Andrej Martin 2025-08-05

Humorous Prediction: Liam Draxl vs. Andrej Martin – Cincinnati Open Qualifiers
Because nothing says "Grand Slam prep" like a match where the total games line is 21.5. How boring.

The Matchup:
Liam Draxl (-150) vs. Andrej Martin (+200).
Implied probabilities: Draxl at 60%, Martin at 33.3%. The bookies clearly did the math… and then added a 10% vigorish for good measure.

Why Draxl is the "Favorite":
Because "favorite" is a relative term, like "relative" in a family Thanksgiving argument. Draxl, the Canadian journeyman, is a -150 machine, which means you’d need a spreadsheet and a therapist to explain his 60% implied chance. Martin, the Slovakian veteran, is +200, which is tennis code for "bet on this if you’re feeling lucky (or Irish, pre-St. Patrick’s Day)."

The Spread:
Draxl -3.5 (-117) vs. Martin +3.5 (-103).
Translation: Draxl needs to win by 4 games to satisfy the spread. Good luck with that. Tennis games are shorter than a TikTok video, but this spread feels like a Netflix series finale.

The Total Games Line:
Over 21.5 (-117) vs. Under 21.5 (-103).
If you’ve ever watched a tennis match and thought, “I wonder how many games they’ll play,” congrats—you’re a sportsbook’s idea of a perfect customer. Under 21.5 is the safer bet here, because no one wants to watch 22 games when they could be napping.

Player Props?
None listed here, but if you’re betting on “Will Andrej Martin serve more double faults than a middle schooler’s spelling bee attempts?”—take Martin (+200). He’s a 36-year-old underdog, which makes him more relatable than a guy named Liam Draxl.

Final Verdict:
Draxl wins 6-3, 6-2. Martin will win enough games to make you question why you bet on the spread. The total games? Exactly 21.5. (Spoiler: It won’t happen. But the bookies love that line anyway.)

Place your bets, but don’t place your hopes on this being an instant classic. It’s tennis. It’s August. Someone will be sweating more than the other. 🎾💦

Created: Aug. 5, 2025, 1:53 p.m. GMT