Prop Bets: LIU Sharks VS Air Force Falcons 2025-11-11
"Air Force Falcons vs. LIU Sharks: A Rocky Mountain High Joke (But Let’s Bet on It Anyway)"
The Air Force Falcons (-4.5) are favored to humiliate the LIU Sharks at home, but let’s be real: this game hinges on altitude, LIU’s decision to wear lead boots on their 1,500-mile road trip, and whether Greg Gordon of LIU remembers how to shoot a basketball after his 29-point heroics last time.
Key Stats & Odds:
- Spread: Air Force -4.5 (implied probability ~52.3%), LIU +4.5 (~51.3%). The lines vary slightly (some books have -4.0), but the Falcons are clearly the chalk.
- Total: 137.5 (even money). With LIU ranking 325th offensively (67.7 PPG) and Air Force 325th in scoring (61.9 PPG) but 232nd in defense (73.7 PPG allowed), this is a math problem: 61.9 + 73.7 = someone’s going to hemorrhage points.
- Moneyline: Air Force at +270 (36.4% implied), LIU at +666 (59.6% implied). The Sharks’ price tag reads like a confidence scam.
Player Props to Note:
- Greg Gordon (LIU), Points Over/Under: He’s already cashed in with 29 points in a win. Can he replicate that magic? Probably not, but the line isn’t listed here, so maybe bet on “Ethan Greenberg (Air Force) scores >18.5 points” instead. Last game, he had 21 and zero assists—a one-man offense with the focus of a goldfish.
- Three-Pointers: LIU makes 6.1 threes per game (31% accuracy—the Three-Point Jesus of 2025). Air Force? They’ll take what they can get, even if it’s a 33.1% clip from deep.
Why Air Force Wins (Probably):
- Altitude Advantage: Clune Arena’s 6,000 feet above sea level turns LIU’s legs into Jell-O. Their 69.7 home PPG vs. 66.8 on the road? That’s 2.9 points, or roughly the difference between a win and a mild existential crisis.
- LIU’s Road Struggles: They’re 66.8 PPG on the road. Air Force allows 73.7 PPG. Math again: 66.8 + 73.7 = LIU’s defense getting roasted by Air Force’s offense.
Why You Should Bet on the Under (137.5):
Because LIU’s offense is a leaky faucet (325th) and Air Force’s defense is a sieve (232nd). The Over is a trap set by sportsbooks.
Final Verdict:
Air Force covers the spread (-4.5) thanks to altitude-induced LIU fatigue and their own mystical ability to let opponents score 70+ points. Take the Falcons, but pray for a mercy rule.
Bonus Prop Bet: “Will Air Force’s coach accidentally set the altitude on the scoreboard to Denver? Over 8,000 feet, 1.5/2.”
Created: Nov. 11, 2025, 6:25 p.m. GMT