Prop Bets: Los Angeles Angels VS Atlanta Braves 2025-07-03
Braves vs. Angels: A "Baseball" (Not "Baseless") Prediction for July 3, 2025
The Atlanta Braves (-141) are favored to win this matchup, but let’s be honest—this isn’t exactly a “sure thing.” They’re playing at Truist Park, where the roof is closed and their offense feels like it’s been closed for months. The Braves have a 51.5% win rate when favored, which is about the same chance I have of not spilling coffee on my keyboard while writing this. Meanwhile, the Angels (47.7% as underdogs) are here to remind us that “underdog” is just a fancy term for “we’re gonna swing for the fences and probably strike out.”
Key Players to Watch:
- Mike Trout (Angels): The “Ice Cube” of baseball (because he’s cool and he’s got 30+ HRs this season) is -260 to exceed 1.5 hits. Let’s just give him the win already.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. (Braves): At -165 for 2.5+ RBIs, he’s basically a math problem that’s supposed to work out. Spoiler: it won’t.
- Jose Soriano (Angels SP): The Angels’ pitcher is -105 to strike out 4.5 batters. Let’s hope he’s not also -105 to throw a no-hitter.
Prop Bets Worth Your Bets:
- Mike Trout Over 1.5 Hits (-260): Trout’s implied probability here is 71.4%. That’s higher than the chance your ex will text you “I miss you” after a breakup. Take the over.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. Over 2.5 Total Bases (-165): Acuna’s implied probability is 63.8%. If he gets 3 TBs, it’ll be the first time the Braves’ offense looks alive this week.
- Team Total Over 9.0 Runs (1.87-1.95 odds): The Angels hit the over 43% of the time, while the Braves? A paltry 32%. This game’s total is basically a coin flip… but with more strikeouts.
Why the Braves Might Win:
Bryce Elder (-125 to strike out 4.5) is the only reason the Braves’ pitching staff isn’t a total disaster. If he avoids a career-worst performance, they’ll probably win. Also, the Angels’ lineup is 30% Taylor Ward, 70% “meh.”
Why the Angels Might Win:
Because sometimes, even a broken clock is right twice a day. And because Jose Soriano’s ERA is 4.70, which is about what the Braves’ offense hopes to score tonight.
Final Prediction:
This game is a classic case of “the underdog with nothing to lose vs. the favorite with nothing to give.” The Braves win 6-4, but not before Trout hits a moonshot HR in the 7th inning that makes everyone forget about the team’s losing streak.
Take:
- Mike Trout Over 1.5 Hits (-260)
- Team Total Over 9.0 Runs (1.90 avg. odds)
Disclaimer: This prediction is not financial advice. It’s just me pretending to know baseball while eating a hot dog at my desk. 🍔⚾
Created: July 3, 2025, 6:37 p.m. GMT