Prop Bets: Los Angeles Angels VS New York Mets 2025-07-21
The Angels vs. Mets: A Tale of Two Splitters (and a Lot of Whiffs)
The New York Mets (-188) are favored to humiliate the Los Angeles Angels (+144) in a game that’s basically a pitching clinic for Kodai Senga and a slapstick comedy for Tyler Anderson. Let’s break it down with the precision of a radar gun and the humor of a dugout prank gone wrong.
The Pitching Matchup: Senga’s Splitter vs. Anderson’s… Uh… Hope?
- Kodai Senga (Mets, 7-3, 1.39 ERA): The Japanese maestro has been a human Swiss Army knife this season, slicing through opponents with his splitter. His implied probability of success? A cool 65.6% (based on -188 moneyline).
- Tyler Anderson (Angels, 2-6, 4.34 ERA): Anderson’s been a strikeout magnet, and the Angels’ lineup (47th in MLB in OPS) will likely treat him like a piñata with no candy. His implied probability? A laughable 41.7%.
The total is set at 8.5 runs, but with Senga’s 1.39 ERA and Anderson’s 4.34, this feels like a “low-scoring” thriller where the Mets’ bats might as well be made of concrete.
Player Props to Bet On (or Avoid)
1. Francisco Lindor (Mets): Over/Under 0.5 doubles at +350. Bet the over if you believe in Lindor’s “I’ll hit a double today or quit baseball” mantra.
2. Juan Soto (Mets): Over/Under 0.5 HRs at +290. Soto’s power surge makes this a no-brainer—unless you’re Anderson, who’s seen 0.5 HRs as a career high.
3. Pete Alonso (Mets): Over/Under 1.5 RBIs at -135. Alonso’s a machine, but even he can’t carry the Angels’ anemic offense.
Why the Mets Win
- Senga’s Dominance: With a 5.5 strikeout prop at -110, Senga’s splitter will turn the Angels into a group of confused toddlers at a baseball game.
- Angels’ Whiff Culture: The Angels rank 26th in OPS and lead the league in “accidental home runs.” Anderson’s 3.5 strikeout prop (-145) is just a math problem waiting to fail.
Final Prediction
The Mets (-1.5 runline, -150) will win by a score of 4-1, with Senga pitching into the 7th inning while Anderson exits after 3 frames, needing a therapist for the experience. Grab the over on Francisco Lindor’s doubles (+350)—because why not?
TL;DR: Bet the Mets, laugh at the Angels, and hope Lindor hits a double. It’s a splitter-tastic show! 🎬⚾
Created: July 21, 2025, 7:49 p.m. GMT