Prop Bets: Los Angeles Chargers VS Las Vegas Raiders 2025-09-15

Chargers vs. Raiders: A Prop-Filled Romp Through Desert Doldrums
The Los Angeles Chargers (-3.5, implied 62.5% win probability) roll into Las Vegas like a Netflix true-crime docuseries: The Raiders’ Defense: A Tragedy in Four Acts. With Geno Smith’s Week 1 heroics (362 yards! 1 TD! One TD?!), the Raiders’ pass defense now looks like a group of toddlers playing Jenga. Smith’s prop line of Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-136) feels like a mercy bet—unless he suddenly develops the arm of Tom Brady and the focus of a monk.

Let’s talk legs. Ashton Jeanty, the Raiders’ rookie RB, is expected to “carry the ball a lot” (per SI’s ominous understatement). His Week 1 stat line (38 yards on 19 carries) reads like a haiku of heartbreak. The prop on Omarion Hampton Under 56.5 rushing yards (-114) is a lock—unless the Chargers’ defense decides to take the night off and let him reach 57.

But the real drama? Quentin Johnston’s Anytime Touchdown (+250). The rookie WR, who’s already been targeted like a piñata at a toddler’s birthday party, needs to catch a TD just to avoid being the most expensive “almost star” in Vegas. If he nails it, bookies will probably cry. If he doesn’t? Well, the Raiders’ offense might as well start a GoFundMe for hope.

Total Points: Under 46.5 (-114). Both teams’ offenses are about as explosive as a wet sock. The Chargers’ “wall of shame” secondary (per talkSPORT) and the Raiders’ “we-just-need-a-miracle” O-line make this a snoozefest. Sleep through the first half, and you’ll miss nothing but the sound of fans checking their watches.

Final Verdict: The Chargers win 23-17, Geno Smith throws 1 TD (Under), and Quentin Johnston’s “anytime” TD prop becomes a “nevermind” TD prop. Bet accordingly—or don’t. This game’s odds are basically a math test written in hieroglyphs.

Implied probabilities calculated from decimal odds: Chargers 62.5%, Raiders 38.5%. Spread: Chargers -3.5. Total: 46.5.

Created: Sept. 15, 2025, 8:42 p.m. GMT