Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers VS Sacramento Kings 2025-10-26
NBA Showdown: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Sacramento Kings – A Prop-Packed Prediction
The Los Angeles Lakers (1.67) face off against the Sacramento Kings (2.25) in a Pacific Division clash with the Kings favored by 3 points. While the Lakers are underdogs, their recent 18-point win over the Timberwolves and Austin Reaves’ 25.5 PPG/6.0 APG make them a spicy pick for prop bettors. The Kings, meanwhile, boast a 22nd-ranked defense but struggle with rebounding (28 RPG). Let’s break it down with the flair of a late-night infomercial…
Key Stats & Implied Probabilities
- Moneyline: Kings at -150 (implied 60% win chance), Lakers at +130 (30%).
- Spread: Kings -3.0 (-110), Lakers +3.0 (-110).
- Total: 227.5 (Even money).
The Kings’ frontcourt woes (28 RPG) vs. the Lakers’ rebounding liabilities (17th in ORB%) set up a grinding, low-scoring affair. But don’t sleep on Luka Doncic’s 34.5 PPG prop or Domantas Sabonis’ 18.5 PRA double-double.
Prop Bets to Target
1. Austin Reaves Over 6.5 Assists (-110):
Reaves dished out 6.5 APG in his last two games. With LeBron sidelined, he’s the Lakers’ floor general. Take the Over.
- Domantas Sabonis Double-Double (-145):
The Kings’ big man averages 17.5 P/13.5 R. His 18.5 PRA prop is a lock. Sabonis Over 18.5 PRA (-110).
- Luka Doncic Over 34.5 Points (-110):
Doncic’s 33.5 PPG average and 31.8% 3PT% make this a no-brainer. Over 34.5 P.
- Kings Under 227.5 Total Points (-110):
Sacramento’s 106.5 PPG and the Lakers’ 104.5 PPG defense? Under 227.5 is a safe play.
Final Verdict
The Kings (-3) have the edge with their faster pace (102.5 PPG) and depth, but the Lakers’ Reaves (23.5 PPG) and De’Anthony Melton (1.5 STL) props are sleeper plays. For a laugh, take Dennis Schroder Over 4.5 Assists (-110)—he’s a ball-dominant guard, after all.
Prediction: Sacramento Kings 110, Los Angeles Lakers 104. But if you’re feeling spicy, back Reaves to out-assist Sabonis. It’s a 50/50 shot… literally.
“Stats don’t lie, but they might wink.” – Your Humble Handicapper 🏀
Created: Oct. 26, 2025, 3:19 p.m. GMT